Persistent high pressure and a heat dome over the Southern Plains have driven consecutive days of extreme heat across North Texas, with official National Weather Service forecasts calling for a mostly sunny high near 106–107°F on August 23 amid southerly flow and heat indices approaching 109°F. Model consensus from NWS and private sources shows minimal spread, with only slight variations tied to cloud cover or wind shifts. This aligns with the record 107°F set in 2010 and ongoing triple-digit readings that have already prompted extended excessive heat warnings. Traders have priced the 106–107°F bin highest at 43.5% implied probability, followed closely by adjacent ranges, reflecting the tight forecast envelope and low chance of significant deviation before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日達拉斯的最高溫度？
8月23日達拉斯的最高溫度？
106-107°F 45%
104-105°F 25%
108-109°F 24%
110-111°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
101°F or below
2%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
25%
106-107°F
45%
108-109°F
24%
110-111°F
6%
112-113°F
2%
114-115°F
1%
116-117°F
1%
118-119°F
<1%
120°F or higher
<1%
106-107°F 45%
104-105°F 25%
108-109°F 24%
110-111°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
101°F or below
$133 交易量
2%
102-103°F
$358 交易量
4%
104-105°F
$693 交易量
25%
106-107°F
$386 交易量
45%
108-109°F
$179 交易量
24%
110-111°F
$90 交易量
6%
112-113°F
$63 交易量
2%
114-115°F
$57 交易量
1%
116-117°F
$65 交易量
1%
118-119°F
$262 交易量
<1%
120°F or higher
$337 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a heat dome over the Southern Plains have driven consecutive days of extreme heat across North Texas, with official National Weather Service forecasts calling for a mostly sunny high near 106–107°F on August 23 amid southerly flow and heat indices approaching 109°F. Model consensus from NWS and private sources shows minimal spread, with only slight variations tied to cloud cover or wind shifts. This aligns with the record 107°F set in 2010 and ongoing triple-digit readings that have already prompted extended excessive heat warnings. Traders have priced the 106–107°F bin highest at 43.5% implied probability, followed closely by adjacent ranges, reflecting the tight forecast envelope and low chance of significant deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$2,623結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a heat dome over the Southern Plains have driven consecutive days of extreme heat across North Texas, with official National Weather Service forecasts calling for a mostly sunny high near 106–107°F on August 23 amid southerly flow and heat indices approaching 109°F. Model consensus from NWS and private sources shows minimal spread, with only slight variations tied to cloud cover or wind shifts. This aligns with the record 107°F set in 2010 and ongoing triple-digit readings that have already prompted extended excessive heat warnings. Traders have priced the 106–107°F bin highest at 43.5% implied probability, followed closely by adjacent ranges, reflecting the tight forecast envelope and low chance of significant deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,623結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETPersistent high pressure and a heat dome over the Southern Plains have driven consecutive days of extreme heat across North Texas, with official National Weather Service forecasts calling for a mostly sunny high near 106–107°F on August 23 amid southerly flow and heat indices approaching 109°F. Model consensus from NWS and private sources shows minimal spread, with only slight variations tied to cloud cover or wind shifts. This aligns with the record 107°F set in 2010 and ongoing triple-digit readings that have already prompted extended excessive heat warnings. Traders have priced the 106–107°F bin highest at 43.5% implied probability, followed closely by adjacent ranges, reflecting the tight forecast envelope and low chance of significant deviation before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions