Official observations from Helsinki stations, including Helsinki-Vantaa Airport, recorded a minimum of 12.7°C on August 24, 2026, directly supporting the 99.5% market-implied odds on 12°C. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.6°C and recent model consensus from Finnish Meteorological Institute and European ensembles forecasting overnight lows of 11–13°C amid a cooler-than-normal late-summer pattern with northerly flow and light precipitation. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies following frontal passages, with dew-point depressions supporting efficient heat loss, produced readings near baseline. The strong consensus reflects real-time data resolution rather than forecasts alone. Scenarios that could alter positioning remain limited but include minor official revisions to station data or discrepancies in exact measurement timing before final NOAA validation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日赫爾辛基最低溫度?
12°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$3,928 交易量
$3,928 交易量
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或以上
否
12°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$3,928 交易量
$3,928 交易量
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official observations from Helsinki stations, including Helsinki-Vantaa Airport, recorded a minimum of 12.7°C on August 24, 2026, directly supporting the 99.5% market-implied odds on 12°C. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.6°C and recent model consensus from Finnish Meteorological Institute and European ensembles forecasting overnight lows of 11–13°C amid a cooler-than-normal late-summer pattern with northerly flow and light precipitation. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies following frontal passages, with dew-point depressions supporting efficient heat loss, produced readings near baseline. The strong consensus reflects real-time data resolution rather than forecasts alone. Scenarios that could alter positioning remain limited but include minor official revisions to station data or discrepancies in exact measurement timing before final NOAA validation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions