**Consistent multi-model forecasts from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European numerical weather prediction systems indicate a minimum temperature of 15°C for Helsinki on August 29, 2026.** Mild southerly to southeasterly flow under high pressure has limited nocturnal cooling, with observed early-morning readings near 15–16°C and projected overnight lows holding at or above this threshold despite typical late-August climatology favoring 12–13°C. High model agreement and real-time surface observations underpin the 97% market-implied probability for 15°C. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-forecast radiative cooling under unexpectedly clear skies or a rapid wind shift introducing cooler continental air, though current guidance shows low likelihood of dropping to 14°C or below before the daily minimum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日赫爾辛基最低溫度？
8月29日赫爾辛基最低溫度？
15°C 97%
14°C 6%
12°C 2%
11°C 1.0%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
1%
14°C
6%
15°C
97%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 97%
14°C 6%
12°C 2%
11°C 1.0%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
10°C or below
$111 交易量
<1%
11°C
$93 交易量
1%
12°C
$98 交易量
2%
13°C
$108 交易量
1%
14°C
$75 交易量
6%
15°C
$460 交易量
97%
16°C
$20 交易量
<1%
17°C
$165 交易量
<1%
18°C
$30 交易量
<1%
19°C
$50 交易量
<1%
20°C or higher
$40 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consistent multi-model forecasts from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European numerical weather prediction systems indicate a minimum temperature of 15°C for Helsinki on August 29, 2026.** Mild southerly to southeasterly flow under high pressure has limited nocturnal cooling, with observed early-morning readings near 15–16°C and projected overnight lows holding at or above this threshold despite typical late-August climatology favoring 12–13°C. High model agreement and real-time surface observations underpin the 97% market-implied probability for 15°C. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-forecast radiative cooling under unexpectedly clear skies or a rapid wind shift introducing cooler continental air, though current guidance shows low likelihood of dropping to 14°C or below before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,242結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consistent multi-model forecasts from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European numerical weather prediction systems indicate a minimum temperature of 15°C for Helsinki on August 29, 2026.** Mild southerly to southeasterly flow under high pressure has limited nocturnal cooling, with observed early-morning readings near 15–16°C and projected overnight lows holding at or above this threshold despite typical late-August climatology favoring 12–13°C. High model agreement and real-time surface observations underpin the 97% market-implied probability for 15°C. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-forecast radiative cooling under unexpectedly clear skies or a rapid wind shift introducing cooler continental air, though current guidance shows low likelihood of dropping to 14°C or below before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,242結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Consistent multi-model forecasts from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European numerical weather prediction systems indicate a minimum temperature of 15°C for Helsinki on August 29, 2026.** Mild southerly to southeasterly flow under high pressure has limited nocturnal cooling, with observed early-morning readings near 15–16°C and projected overnight lows holding at or above this threshold despite typical late-August climatology favoring 12–13°C. High model agreement and real-time surface observations underpin the 97% market-implied probability for 15°C. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-forecast radiative cooling under unexpectedly clear skies or a rapid wind shift introducing cooler continental air, though current guidance shows low likelihood of dropping to 14°C or below before the daily minimum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions