Recent forecasts for Helsinki indicate a cool, unsettled pattern with widespread cloud cover, light rain, and southwesterly winds around 10-20 km/h, keeping overnight lows near or below seasonal norms. Official guidance and model consensus point to minimum temperatures of 13-15°C on August 31, consistent with the month's observed trend of below-average readings (recent lows 10-12°C) amid a transition toward autumnal conditions. Trader emphasis on the 11°C-or-below outcome at 40.5% implied probability aligns with potential for clearer intervals enhancing radiative cooling, while probabilities clustered around 14-15°C reflect the most likely range under continued moisture and modest wind. Historical August minima average near 11.8°C, providing context for the current market-implied distribution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日赫爾辛基最低溫度?
14°C 50%
17°C 49%
11°C or below 41%
15°C 27%
11°C or below
41%
12°C
25%
13°C
26%
14°C
30%
15°C
27%
16°C
25%
17°C
49%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
14°C 50%
17°C 49%
11°C or below 41%
15°C 27%
11°C or below
41%
12°C
25%
13°C
26%
14°C
30%
15°C
27%
16°C
25%
17°C
49%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Helsinki indicate a cool, unsettled pattern with widespread cloud cover, light rain, and southwesterly winds around 10-20 km/h, keeping overnight lows near or below seasonal norms. Official guidance and model consensus point to minimum temperatures of 13-15°C on August 31, consistent with the month's observed trend of below-average readings (recent lows 10-12°C) amid a transition toward autumnal conditions. Trader emphasis on the 11°C-or-below outcome at 40.5% implied probability aligns with potential for clearer intervals enhancing radiative cooling, while probabilities clustered around 14-15°C reflect the most likely range under continued moisture and modest wind. Historical August minima average near 11.8°C, providing context for the current market-implied distribution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions