Recent forecast consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and regional models positions Istanbul’s September 1 maximum near 28–30 °C under clear skies, moderate northeast flow, and surface high pressure that favors daytime heating without significant cloud cover or marine influence. Official guidance and ensemble runs show afternoon peaks of 28–29 °C, slightly above the early-September climatological average of ~27–28 °C, with low precipitation risk and dew points supporting efficient radiational warming. Market-implied odds favoring 26–27 °C reflect residual uncertainty in the precise peak timing and any late-model cooling adjustments, while the slim probabilities above 29 °C acknowledge limited upside if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated model runs and Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
9月1日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
26°C 50%
27°C 38%
25°C 8%
28°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
22°C or below
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
8%
26°C
50%
27°C
38%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 50%
27°C 38%
25°C 8%
28°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
22°C or below
$0 交易量
1%
23°C
$5 交易量
3%
24°C
$25 交易量
5%
25°C
$0 交易量
8%
26°C
$47 交易量
50%
27°C
$109 交易量
38%
28°C
$10 交易量
6%
29°C
$0 交易量
4%
30°C
$0 交易量
<1%
31°C
$0 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and regional models positions Istanbul’s September 1 maximum near 28–30 °C under clear skies, moderate northeast flow, and surface high pressure that favors daytime heating without significant cloud cover or marine influence. Official guidance and ensemble runs show afternoon peaks of 28–29 °C, slightly above the early-September climatological average of ~27–28 °C, with low precipitation risk and dew points supporting efficient radiational warming. Market-implied odds favoring 26–27 °C reflect residual uncertainty in the precise peak timing and any late-model cooling adjustments, while the slim probabilities above 29 °C acknowledge limited upside if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated model runs and Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$196結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and regional models positions Istanbul’s September 1 maximum near 28–30 °C under clear skies, moderate northeast flow, and surface high pressure that favors daytime heating without significant cloud cover or marine influence. Official guidance and ensemble runs show afternoon peaks of 28–29 °C, slightly above the early-September climatological average of ~27–28 °C, with low precipitation risk and dew points supporting efficient radiational warming. Market-implied odds favoring 26–27 °C reflect residual uncertainty in the precise peak timing and any late-model cooling adjustments, while the slim probabilities above 29 °C acknowledge limited upside if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated model runs and Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$196結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and regional models positions Istanbul’s September 1 maximum near 28–30 °C under clear skies, moderate northeast flow, and surface high pressure that favors daytime heating without significant cloud cover or marine influence. Official guidance and ensemble runs show afternoon peaks of 28–29 °C, slightly above the early-September climatological average of ~27–28 °C, with low precipitation risk and dew points supporting efficient radiational warming. Market-implied odds favoring 26–27 °C reflect residual uncertainty in the precise peak timing and any late-model cooling adjustments, while the slim probabilities above 29 °C acknowledge limited upside if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated model runs and Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions