Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of around 20°C in Amsterdam on September 1 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds and minimal precipitation after cooler, unsettled conditions on August 30–31. Building high pressure and a maritime air mass limit daytime warming, keeping temperatures near or slightly below seasonal averages despite some afternoon sun breaks. Model consensus clusters tightly between 19–21°C, with minor differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing explaining the spread between the market’s leading 20°C (43.5%) and 21°C (34.5%) outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the latest deterministic runs and ensemble guidance showing little risk of exceeding 22°C or falling below 19°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度?
20°C 44%
21°C 35%
19°C 13%
22°C 6%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
13%
20°C
44%
21°C
35%
22°C
6%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
20°C 44%
21°C 35%
19°C 13%
22°C 6%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
13%
20°C
44%
21°C
35%
22°C
6%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of around 20°C in Amsterdam on September 1 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds and minimal precipitation after cooler, unsettled conditions on August 30–31. Building high pressure and a maritime air mass limit daytime warming, keeping temperatures near or slightly below seasonal averages despite some afternoon sun breaks. Model consensus clusters tightly between 19–21°C, with minor differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing explaining the spread between the market’s leading 20°C (43.5%) and 21°C (34.5%) outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the latest deterministic runs and ensemble guidance showing little risk of exceeding 22°C or falling below 19°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions