Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with National Weather Service equivalents, point to a high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies and minimal cloud cover over Madrid on September 1, supporting maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius. This setup favors strong daytime solar heating and limited mixing, with surface conditions near the historical late-summer baseline of ~30°C but elevated by regional subsidence. Model consensus shows limited spread around 32–34°C, though slight variations in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by 1–2°C. With resolution hinging on the official daily maximum from Madrid stations, traders are weighing these near-term atmospheric details against climatological norms.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日馬德裏氣溫最高？
9月1日馬德裏氣溫最高？
35°C 46%
32°C 36%
39°C 36%
34°C 35%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
30°C or below
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
36%
33°C
11%
34°C
35%
35°C
46%
36°C
19%
37°C
6%
38°C
<1%
39°C
36%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 46%
32°C 36%
39°C 36%
34°C 35%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
30°C or below
$0 交易量
4%
31°C
$0 交易量
2%
32°C
$0 交易量
36%
33°C
$0 交易量
11%
34°C
$2 交易量
35%
35°C
$10 交易量
46%
36°C
$0 交易量
19%
37°C
$0 交易量
6%
38°C
$0 交易量
<1%
39°C
$0 交易量
36%
40°C or higher
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with National Weather Service equivalents, point to a high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies and minimal cloud cover over Madrid on September 1, supporting maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius. This setup favors strong daytime solar heating and limited mixing, with surface conditions near the historical late-summer baseline of ~30°C but elevated by regional subsidence. Model consensus shows limited spread around 32–34°C, though slight variations in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by 1–2°C. With resolution hinging on the official daily maximum from Madrid stations, traders are weighing these near-term atmospheric details against climatological norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$10結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with National Weather Service equivalents, point to a high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies and minimal cloud cover over Madrid on September 1, supporting maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius. This setup favors strong daytime solar heating and limited mixing, with surface conditions near the historical late-summer baseline of ~30°C but elevated by regional subsidence. Model consensus shows limited spread around 32–34°C, though slight variations in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by 1–2°C. With resolution hinging on the official daily maximum from Madrid stations, traders are weighing these near-term atmospheric details against climatological norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with National Weather Service equivalents, point to a high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies and minimal cloud cover over Madrid on September 1, supporting maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius. This setup favors strong daytime solar heating and limited mixing, with surface conditions near the historical late-summer baseline of ~30°C but elevated by regional subsidence. Model consensus shows limited spread around 32–34°C, though slight variations in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by 1–2°C. With resolution hinging on the official daily maximum from Madrid stations, traders are weighing these near-term atmospheric details against climatological norms.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions