Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a peak temperature near 21°C in Warsaw on September 1, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and isolated weak showers. This consensus arises from a moderate zonal flow pattern typical for early September, yielding afternoon highs consistent with the 20–22°C climatological range while limiting stronger warming. Recent GFS and other runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, with cloud cover and precipitation timing introducing modest uncertainty around the exact maximum. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this narrow band, reflecting traders’ assessment of official agency guidance and ensemble outputs favoring 21°C as the most probable outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日華沙的最高溫度？
9月1日華沙的最高溫度？
21°C 49%
20°C 37%
22°C 12%
19°C 5%
最新
$10,490 交易量
最新
$10,490 交易量
2026-09-01
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
37%
21°C
49%
22°C
12%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 49%
20°C 37%
22°C 12%
19°C 5%
最新
$10,490 交易量
最新
$10,490 交易量
2026-09-01
17°C or below
$631 交易量
<1%
18°C
$561 交易量
1%
19°C
$977 交易量
5%
20°C
$1,368 交易量
37%
21°C
$1,314 交易量
49%
22°C
$3,644 交易量
12%
23°C
$489 交易量
3%
24°C
$247 交易量
<1%
25°C
$598 交易量
1%
26°C
$553 交易量
1%
27°C or higher
$107 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a peak temperature near 21°C in Warsaw on September 1, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and isolated weak showers. This consensus arises from a moderate zonal flow pattern typical for early September, yielding afternoon highs consistent with the 20–22°C climatological range while limiting stronger warming. Recent GFS and other runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, with cloud cover and precipitation timing introducing modest uncertainty around the exact maximum. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this narrow band, reflecting traders’ assessment of official agency guidance and ensemble outputs favoring 21°C as the most probable outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$10,490結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a peak temperature near 21°C in Warsaw on September 1, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and isolated weak showers. This consensus arises from a moderate zonal flow pattern typical for early September, yielding afternoon highs consistent with the 20–22°C climatological range while limiting stronger warming. Recent GFS and other runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, with cloud cover and precipitation timing introducing modest uncertainty around the exact maximum. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this narrow band, reflecting traders’ assessment of official agency guidance and ensemble outputs favoring 21°C as the most probable outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,490結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from multiple sources indicate a peak temperature near 21°C in Warsaw on September 1, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and isolated weak showers. This consensus arises from a moderate zonal flow pattern typical for early September, yielding afternoon highs consistent with the 20–22°C climatological range while limiting stronger warming. Recent GFS and other runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, with cloud cover and precipitation timing introducing modest uncertainty around the exact maximum. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this narrow band, reflecting traders’ assessment of official agency guidance and ensemble outputs favoring 21°C as the most probable outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions