Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including Polish meteorological outlets and international models, indicate a building high-pressure ridge over central Europe with clear skies and light westerly winds on September 2, supporting daytime heating to a maximum near 22–23 °C under mostly sunny conditions and low humidity around 40–50 %. This follows cooler, showery weather on August 31–September 1, allowing rapid clearing and stronger solar insolation. Model consensus places the peak in this narrow band, with limited spread reflecting typical early-September variability rather than extremes; traders have priced the tight 22–23 °C cluster accordingly, while assigning lower probability to outliers such as 24 °C or below 21 °C given the stable synoptic pattern and absence of significant cloud or frontal activity expected before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日華沙的最高溫度?
23°C 47%
22°C 33%
24°C 13%
21°C 10%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
10%
22°C
33%
23°C
47%
24°C
13%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 47%
22°C 33%
24°C 13%
21°C 10%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
10%
22°C
33%
23°C
47%
24°C
13%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including Polish meteorological outlets and international models, indicate a building high-pressure ridge over central Europe with clear skies and light westerly winds on September 2, supporting daytime heating to a maximum near 22–23 °C under mostly sunny conditions and low humidity around 40–50 %. This follows cooler, showery weather on August 31–September 1, allowing rapid clearing and stronger solar insolation. Model consensus places the peak in this narrow band, with limited spread reflecting typical early-September variability rather than extremes; traders have priced the tight 22–23 °C cluster accordingly, while assigning lower probability to outliers such as 24 °C or below 21 °C given the stable synoptic pattern and absence of significant cloud or frontal activity expected before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions