Current ensemble forecasts from NOAA and other agencies indicate overnight lows in Seattle on September 2 near 55–56°F under a strengthening southerly flow ahead of an approaching frontal system, with increasing clouds and light rain expected after midnight. These conditions typically limit radiational cooling while moderating temperatures near the marine layer, keeping values within the historical September average of about 55°F. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 56–59°F because recent model runs show only modest spread in minimum temperatures, driven by uncertainties in exact timing of precipitation onset and wind gusts up to 20 mph. Historical analogs and current observational trends support this narrow range, though any earlier clearing could allow slightly lower readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日西雅圖的最低溫度?
58-59°F 96%
54-55°F 92%
49華氏度或以下 69%
56-57°F 52%
49華氏度或以下
69%
50-51°F
14%
52-53°F
19%
54-55°F
92%
56-57°F
52%
58-59°F
96%
60-61°F
15%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
14%
68°F或以上
15%
58-59°F 96%
54-55°F 92%
49華氏度或以下 69%
56-57°F 52%
49華氏度或以下
69%
50-51°F
14%
52-53°F
19%
54-55°F
92%
56-57°F
52%
58-59°F
96%
60-61°F
15%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
14%
68°F或以上
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current ensemble forecasts from NOAA and other agencies indicate overnight lows in Seattle on September 2 near 55–56°F under a strengthening southerly flow ahead of an approaching frontal system, with increasing clouds and light rain expected after midnight. These conditions typically limit radiational cooling while moderating temperatures near the marine layer, keeping values within the historical September average of about 55°F. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 56–59°F because recent model runs show only modest spread in minimum temperatures, driven by uncertainties in exact timing of precipitation onset and wind gusts up to 20 mph. Historical analogs and current observational trends support this narrow range, though any earlier clearing could allow slightly lower readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions