Forecast models from the National Weather Service and others project a mostly sunny, hot day for Austin on September 2 with a high near 100°F under south to southeast flow, consistent with the current late-summer heat pattern exceeding the 94°F climatological average. Afternoon heating supports potential scattered thunderstorms that could limit peak temperatures if clouds and showers develop earlier than expected, introducing uncertainty between the 98–99°F and 100–103°F ranges dominating trader probabilities. Low-level moisture and weak steering winds keep outcomes closely matched, with any shift in convective timing or model consensus on maximum heating likely to drive near-term adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日奧斯汀的最高溫度?
98-99°F 45%
100-101°F 39%
96-97°F 17%
94-95°F 11%
華氏87度或以下
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
17%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
29%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
5%
106°F或以上
5%
98-99°F 45%
100-101°F 39%
96-97°F 17%
94-95°F 11%
華氏87度或以下
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
17%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
29%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
5%
106°F或以上
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and others project a mostly sunny, hot day for Austin on September 2 with a high near 100°F under south to southeast flow, consistent with the current late-summer heat pattern exceeding the 94°F climatological average. Afternoon heating supports potential scattered thunderstorms that could limit peak temperatures if clouds and showers develop earlier than expected, introducing uncertainty between the 98–99°F and 100–103°F ranges dominating trader probabilities. Low-level moisture and weak steering winds keep outcomes closely matched, with any shift in convective timing or model consensus on maximum heating likely to drive near-term adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions