Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin on September 2 project overnight lows in the upper 70s, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 73°F, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions support the market's leading 74-75°F outcome at 62.5% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of modest variability around the seasonal baseline of 71°F while accounting for the low likelihood of a stronger cool-air intrusion this late in summer. Recent model runs show tight consensus without major shifts, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded by local stations before the next diurnal cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日奧斯汀最低溫度？
9月2日奧斯汀最低溫度？
70-71°F 92%
華氏69度或以下 89%
88°F或以上 88%
78-79°F 76%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
華氏69度或以下
89%
70-71°F
92%
72-73°F
52%
74-75°F
58%
76-77°F
46%
78-79°F
76%
80-81°F
52%
82-83°F
69%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
68%
88°F或以上
88%
70-71°F 92%
華氏69度或以下 89%
88°F或以上 88%
78-79°F 76%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
華氏69度或以下
$15 交易量
89%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
92%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
52%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
58%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
46%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
76%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
52%
82-83°F
$15 交易量
69%
84-85°F
$5 交易量
2%
86-87°F
$5 交易量
68%
88°F或以上
$5 交易量
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin on September 2 project overnight lows in the upper 70s, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 73°F, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions support the market's leading 74-75°F outcome at 62.5% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of modest variability around the seasonal baseline of 71°F while accounting for the low likelihood of a stronger cool-air intrusion this late in summer. Recent model runs show tight consensus without major shifts, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded by local stations before the next diurnal cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$45結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin on September 2 project overnight lows in the upper 70s, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 73°F, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions support the market's leading 74-75°F outcome at 62.5% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of modest variability around the seasonal baseline of 71°F while accounting for the low likelihood of a stronger cool-air intrusion this late in summer. Recent model runs show tight consensus without major shifts, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded by local stations before the next diurnal cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$45結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETCurrent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin on September 2 project overnight lows in the upper 70s, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 73°F, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions support the market's leading 74-75°F outcome at 62.5% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of modest variability around the seasonal baseline of 71°F while accounting for the low likelihood of a stronger cool-air intrusion this late in summer. Recent model runs show tight consensus without major shifts, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded by local stations before the next diurnal cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions