Forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the Red Sea coast, supporting maximum temperatures near 37–38°C in Jeddah on September 3, aligning with the market's leading 38°C outcome at 47% implied probability. Persistent northwest winds, high solar insolation under mostly clear skies, and elevated humidity from the adjacent sea moderate daytime peaks while limiting rapid cooling overnight. Historical September averages hover around 35–36°C, with recent observations confirming no incoming fronts or cloud cover to suppress heating. Minor model spread leaves room for 39°C or higher if subsidence strengthens, though probabilities taper quickly below 37°C given the entrenched warm pattern. Updated short-range guidance ahead of resolution will clarify any final adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達9月3日最高溫度?
38°C 47%
37°C 29%
39°C或以上 21%
36°C 4%
29°C或以下
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
4%
37°C
29%
38°C
47%
39°C或以上
21%
38°C 47%
37°C 29%
39°C或以上 21%
36°C 4%
29°C或以下
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
4%
37°C
29%
38°C
47%
39°C或以上
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the Red Sea coast, supporting maximum temperatures near 37–38°C in Jeddah on September 3, aligning with the market's leading 38°C outcome at 47% implied probability. Persistent northwest winds, high solar insolation under mostly clear skies, and elevated humidity from the adjacent sea moderate daytime peaks while limiting rapid cooling overnight. Historical September averages hover around 35–36°C, with recent observations confirming no incoming fronts or cloud cover to suppress heating. Minor model spread leaves room for 39°C or higher if subsidence strengthens, though probabilities taper quickly below 37°C given the entrenched warm pattern. Updated short-range guidance ahead of resolution will clarify any final adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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