Recent short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a daily maximum near 37°C for Jeddah on September 2, driven by persistent northwest winds, clear to mostly sunny skies, and typical late-summer high pressure over the Red Sea coast. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average maximum of 37–38°C and the absence of any significant synoptic cooling or heat-wave signals in the latest runs. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41% implied probability for 38°C and 27.5% for 37°C, incorporates this model agreement alongside the narrow uncertainty range typical of 48-hour temperature outlooks, with only modest upside risk from localized urban heat effects or slight model warming trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達9月2日最高溫度?
38°C 41%
37°C 28%
39°C 20%
36°C 14%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
14%
37°C
28%
38°C
41%
39°C
19%
40°C或以上
5%
38°C 41%
37°C 28%
39°C 20%
36°C 14%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
14%
37°C
28%
38°C
41%
39°C
19%
40°C或以上
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a daily maximum near 37°C for Jeddah on September 2, driven by persistent northwest winds, clear to mostly sunny skies, and typical late-summer high pressure over the Red Sea coast. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average maximum of 37–38°C and the absence of any significant synoptic cooling or heat-wave signals in the latest runs. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41% implied probability for 38°C and 27.5% for 37°C, incorporates this model agreement alongside the narrow uncertainty range typical of 48-hour temperature outlooks, with only modest upside risk from localized urban heat effects or slight model warming trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions