Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in New York City on September 2 will likely settle in the upper 60s to low 70s, with trader consensus concentrated on 68–71°F outcomes. Persistent easterly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and extensive cloud cover from prior thunderstorm activity are limiting radiational cooling and maintaining above-normal minimum temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 September average low of 65.5°F. These conditions differentiate the closely matched leading bins, as any shift in wind direction or partial clearing could allow slightly greater overnight drops into the 68–69°F range while sustained humidity supports the 70–71°F probability. Updated National Weather Service guidance and evening model runs will clarify resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日紐約市的最低溫度？
9月2日紐約市的最低溫度？
68-69°F 43%
70-71華氏度 32%
66-67°F 20%
72-73°F 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
華氏63度或以下
4%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
43%
70-71華氏度
32%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82°F或更高
1%
68-69°F 43%
70-71華氏度 32%
66-67°F 20%
72-73°F 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
華氏63度或以下
$27 交易量
4%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
5%
66-67°F
$45 交易量
20%
68-69°F
$312 交易量
43%
70-71華氏度
$16 交易量
32%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
16%
74-75°F
$15 交易量
3%
76-77°F
$5 交易量
2%
78-79°F
$45 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$50 交易量
1%
82°F或更高
$134 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in New York City on September 2 will likely settle in the upper 60s to low 70s, with trader consensus concentrated on 68–71°F outcomes. Persistent easterly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and extensive cloud cover from prior thunderstorm activity are limiting radiational cooling and maintaining above-normal minimum temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 September average low of 65.5°F. These conditions differentiate the closely matched leading bins, as any shift in wind direction or partial clearing could allow slightly greater overnight drops into the 68–69°F range while sustained humidity supports the 70–71°F probability. Updated National Weather Service guidance and evening model runs will clarify resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$649結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in New York City on September 2 will likely settle in the upper 60s to low 70s, with trader consensus concentrated on 68–71°F outcomes. Persistent easterly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and extensive cloud cover from prior thunderstorm activity are limiting radiational cooling and maintaining above-normal minimum temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 September average low of 65.5°F. These conditions differentiate the closely matched leading bins, as any shift in wind direction or partial clearing could allow slightly greater overnight drops into the 68–69°F range while sustained humidity supports the 70–71°F probability. Updated National Weather Service guidance and evening model runs will clarify resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$649結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in New York City on September 2 will likely settle in the upper 60s to low 70s, with trader consensus concentrated on 68–71°F outcomes. Persistent easterly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and extensive cloud cover from prior thunderstorm activity are limiting radiational cooling and maintaining above-normal minimum temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 September average low of 65.5°F. These conditions differentiate the closely matched leading bins, as any shift in wind direction or partial clearing could allow slightly greater overnight drops into the 68–69°F range while sustained humidity supports the 70–71°F probability. Updated National Weather Service guidance and evening model runs will clarify resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions