Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, reinforced by Tropical Storm Pilandok's distant influence, are driving extensive cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered to widespread thunderstorms across Metro Manila, limiting daytime solar heating and capping maximum temperatures. PAGASA's official outlook projects a 31°C high for September 2 with 90% rain probability, consistent with model consensus showing 29-31°C peaks amid southwesterly winds. Recent observations, including a 32.1°C reading on September 1, sustain trader focus on the 32°C and 31°C bins as the most probable outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and localized heating under variable monsoon strength.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日馬尼拉的最高溫度?
32°C 48%
31°C 24%
33°C 11%
30°C 10%
$11,820 交易量
$11,820 交易量
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
24%
32°C
48%
33°C
11%
34°C
1%
35°C或以上
1%
32°C 48%
31°C 24%
33°C 11%
30°C 10%
$11,820 交易量
$11,820 交易量
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
24%
32°C
48%
33°C
11%
34°C
1%
35°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, reinforced by Tropical Storm Pilandok's distant influence, are driving extensive cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered to widespread thunderstorms across Metro Manila, limiting daytime solar heating and capping maximum temperatures. PAGASA's official outlook projects a 31°C high for September 2 with 90% rain probability, consistent with model consensus showing 29-31°C peaks amid southwesterly winds. Recent observations, including a 32.1°C reading on September 1, sustain trader focus on the 32°C and 31°C bins as the most probable outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and localized heating under variable monsoon strength.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions