The tight clustering of probabilities around 30–31°C for Jeddah’s minimum temperature on September 2 stems from ensemble forecasts showing overnight lows stabilizing near these values amid typical early-September conditions. Persistent northwest winds off the Red Sea enhance humidity and limit radiative cooling, while clear to partly cloudy skies and light nocturnal breezes keep the diurnal range narrow. Historical baselines place average September minima around 30°C, with minor model spreads arising from subtle variations in wind speed, dew points near 23–25°C, and any localized sea-breeze effects. Traders weigh these factors against potential slight cooling from increased cloud cover or stronger advection, producing the observed near-even odds between the top outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日吉達最低溫度？
9月2日吉達最低溫度？
27°C 97%
24°C or below 96%
26°C 95%
34°C or higher 92%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
24°C or below
96%
25°C
13%
26°C
95%
27°C
97%
28°C
14%
29°C
49%
30°C
48%
31°C
48%
32°C
48%
33°C
45%
34°C or higher
92%
27°C 97%
24°C or below 96%
26°C 95%
34°C or higher 92%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
24°C or below
$5 交易量
96%
25°C
$5 交易量
13%
26°C
$5 交易量
95%
27°C
$5 交易量
97%
28°C
$26 交易量
14%
29°C
$0 交易量
49%
30°C
$0 交易量
48%
31°C
$2 交易量
48%
32°C
$0 交易量
48%
33°C
$10 交易量
45%
34°C or higher
$5 交易量
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight clustering of probabilities around 30–31°C for Jeddah’s minimum temperature on September 2 stems from ensemble forecasts showing overnight lows stabilizing near these values amid typical early-September conditions. Persistent northwest winds off the Red Sea enhance humidity and limit radiative cooling, while clear to partly cloudy skies and light nocturnal breezes keep the diurnal range narrow. Historical baselines place average September minima around 30°C, with minor model spreads arising from subtle variations in wind speed, dew points near 23–25°C, and any localized sea-breeze effects. Traders weigh these factors against potential slight cooling from increased cloud cover or stronger advection, producing the observed near-even odds between the top outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$63結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight clustering of probabilities around 30–31°C for Jeddah’s minimum temperature on September 2 stems from ensemble forecasts showing overnight lows stabilizing near these values amid typical early-September conditions. Persistent northwest winds off the Red Sea enhance humidity and limit radiative cooling, while clear to partly cloudy skies and light nocturnal breezes keep the diurnal range narrow. Historical baselines place average September minima around 30°C, with minor model spreads arising from subtle variations in wind speed, dew points near 23–25°C, and any localized sea-breeze effects. Traders weigh these factors against potential slight cooling from increased cloud cover or stronger advection, producing the observed near-even odds between the top outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$63結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThe tight clustering of probabilities around 30–31°C for Jeddah’s minimum temperature on September 2 stems from ensemble forecasts showing overnight lows stabilizing near these values amid typical early-September conditions. Persistent northwest winds off the Red Sea enhance humidity and limit radiative cooling, while clear to partly cloudy skies and light nocturnal breezes keep the diurnal range narrow. Historical baselines place average September minima around 30°C, with minor model spreads arising from subtle variations in wind speed, dew points near 23–25°C, and any localized sea-breeze effects. Traders weigh these factors against potential slight cooling from increased cloud cover or stronger advection, producing the observed near-even odds between the top outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions