**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a nighttime minimum temperature in Jeddah of 29–31°C on September 3, 2026, under stable conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels around 40–60%.** This aligns closely with historical September climatology for the Red Sea coastal plain, where average lows range from 27–29°C and rarely fall below 26°C absent unusual synoptic influences. The 97% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects the tight clustering of numerical weather prediction outputs and the lack of any recent developments—such as stronger onshore flow, cloud build-up, or transient troughs—that would alter the diurnal cooling profile. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include an unpredicted marine layer surge or localized heavy convection, though current guidance shows negligible precipitation risk and consistent steering patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日吉達最低溫度？
9月3日吉達最低溫度？
30°C 100%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$1,846 交易量
$1,846 交易量
2026-09-03
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
是
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或以上
否
30°C 100%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$1,846 交易量
$1,846 交易量
2026-09-03
24°C或以下
$62 交易量
否
25°C
$62 交易量
否
26°C
$62 交易量
否
27°C
$142 交易量
否
28°C
$138 交易量
否
29°C
$112 交易量
否
30°C
$456 交易量
是
31°C
$345 交易量
否
32°C
$423 交易量
否
33°C
$25 交易量
否
34°C或以上
$20 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a nighttime minimum temperature in Jeddah of 29–31°C on September 3, 2026, under stable conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels around 40–60%.** This aligns closely with historical September climatology for the Red Sea coastal plain, where average lows range from 27–29°C and rarely fall below 26°C absent unusual synoptic influences. The 97% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects the tight clustering of numerical weather prediction outputs and the lack of any recent developments—such as stronger onshore flow, cloud build-up, or transient troughs—that would alter the diurnal cooling profile. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include an unpredicted marine layer surge or localized heavy convection, though current guidance shows negligible precipitation risk and consistent steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,846結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a nighttime minimum temperature in Jeddah of 29–31°C on September 3, 2026, under stable conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels around 40–60%.** This aligns closely with historical September climatology for the Red Sea coastal plain, where average lows range from 27–29°C and rarely fall below 26°C absent unusual synoptic influences. The 97% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects the tight clustering of numerical weather prediction outputs and the lack of any recent developments—such as stronger onshore flow, cloud build-up, or transient troughs—that would alter the diurnal cooling profile. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include an unpredicted marine layer surge or localized heavy convection, though current guidance shows negligible precipitation risk and consistent steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,846結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a nighttime minimum temperature in Jeddah of 29–31°C on September 3, 2026, under stable conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels around 40–60%.** This aligns closely with historical September climatology for the Red Sea coastal plain, where average lows range from 27–29°C and rarely fall below 26°C absent unusual synoptic influences. The 97% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects the tight clustering of numerical weather prediction outputs and the lack of any recent developments—such as stronger onshore flow, cloud build-up, or transient troughs—that would alter the diurnal cooling profile. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include an unpredicted marine layer surge or localized heavy convection, though current guidance shows negligible precipitation risk and consistent steering patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions