Recent numerical weather models indicate a daytime maximum near 21°C in Moscow on September 4 under southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds, positioning this outcome as the market leader. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 20–22°C, consistent with early September climatology where average highs reach about 18–19°C yet recent days have trended warmer. Light precipitation chances and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, while official forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center align with the 21°C consensus. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日莫斯科最高溫度？
9月4日莫斯科最高溫度？
21°C 51%
20°C 18%
22°C 18%
19°C 7%
最新
$11,368 交易量
最新
$11,368 交易量
2026-09-04
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
18%
21°C
51%
22°C
18%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
21°C 51%
20°C 18%
22°C 18%
19°C 7%
最新
$11,368 交易量
最新
$11,368 交易量
2026-09-04
16°C或以下
$385 交易量
<1%
17°C
$899 交易量
<1%
18°C
$903 交易量
2%
19°C
$731 交易量
7%
20°C
$3,254 交易量
18%
21°C
$1,230 交易量
51%
22°C
$2,189 交易量
18%
23°C
$1,008 交易量
2%
24°C
$237 交易量
<1%
25°C
$333 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$199 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models indicate a daytime maximum near 21°C in Moscow on September 4 under southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds, positioning this outcome as the market leader. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 20–22°C, consistent with early September climatology where average highs reach about 18–19°C yet recent days have trended warmer. Light precipitation chances and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, while official forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center align with the 21°C consensus. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$11,368結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models indicate a daytime maximum near 21°C in Moscow on September 4 under southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds, positioning this outcome as the market leader. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 20–22°C, consistent with early September climatology where average highs reach about 18–19°C yet recent days have trended warmer. Light precipitation chances and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, while official forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center align with the 21°C consensus. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,368結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent numerical weather models indicate a daytime maximum near 21°C in Moscow on September 4 under southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds, positioning this outcome as the market leader. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 20–22°C, consistent with early September climatology where average highs reach about 18–19°C yet recent days have trended warmer. Light precipitation chances and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, while official forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center align with the 21°C consensus. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions