Latest National Weather Service ensemble guidance shows Seattle's September 5 maximum temperature centered near 68–71 °F, aligning with the tightest market-implied probabilities. Marine-layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant controls, moderating daytime heating while a weak thermal trough tries to build eastward. Model spread arises mainly from differences in cloud-deck timing and boundary-layer mixing depth, typical for early-September conditions when climatological highs average 74 °F. Traders appear to weigh the latest HRRR and GFS runs that keep the marine influence intact through peak afternoon hours, limiting upside to the low 70s. Final resolution rests on the official Sea-Tac Airport observation once the 24-hour period ends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日西雅圖的最高溫度？
9月5日西雅圖的最高溫度？
68-69°F 35%
70-71°F 27%
66-67°F 16%
72-73°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
59°F或以下
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
16%
68-69°F
35%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
9%
74-75華氏度
3%
76-77°F
2%
78°F或以上
1%
68-69°F 35%
70-71°F 27%
66-67°F 16%
72-73°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
59°F或以下
$105 交易量
1%
60-61°F
$20 交易量
2%
62-63°F
$98 交易量
4%
64-65°F
$304 交易量
6%
66-67°F
$253 交易量
16%
68-69°F
$220 交易量
35%
70-71°F
$151 交易量
27%
72-73°F
$61 交易量
9%
74-75華氏度
$0 交易量
3%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
2%
78°F或以上
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service ensemble guidance shows Seattle's September 5 maximum temperature centered near 68–71 °F, aligning with the tightest market-implied probabilities. Marine-layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant controls, moderating daytime heating while a weak thermal trough tries to build eastward. Model spread arises mainly from differences in cloud-deck timing and boundary-layer mixing depth, typical for early-September conditions when climatological highs average 74 °F. Traders appear to weigh the latest HRRR and GFS runs that keep the marine influence intact through peak afternoon hours, limiting upside to the low 70s. Final resolution rests on the official Sea-Tac Airport observation once the 24-hour period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
交易量
$1,213結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 7:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service ensemble guidance shows Seattle's September 5 maximum temperature centered near 68–71 °F, aligning with the tightest market-implied probabilities. Marine-layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant controls, moderating daytime heating while a weak thermal trough tries to build eastward. Model spread arises mainly from differences in cloud-deck timing and boundary-layer mixing depth, typical for early-September conditions when climatological highs average 74 °F. Traders appear to weigh the latest HRRR and GFS runs that keep the marine influence intact through peak afternoon hours, limiting upside to the low 70s. Final resolution rests on the official Sea-Tac Airport observation once the 24-hour period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,213結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 7:55 AM ETLatest National Weather Service ensemble guidance shows Seattle's September 5 maximum temperature centered near 68–71 °F, aligning with the tightest market-implied probabilities. Marine-layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant controls, moderating daytime heating while a weak thermal trough tries to build eastward. Model spread arises mainly from differences in cloud-deck timing and boundary-layer mixing depth, typical for early-September conditions when climatological highs average 74 °F. Traders appear to weigh the latest HRRR and GFS runs that keep the marine influence intact through peak afternoon hours, limiting upside to the low 70s. Final resolution rests on the official Sea-Tac Airport observation once the 24-hour period ends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions