Forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 6 most likely between 32–34°C, with scattered clouds and possible light rain or showers moderating peak heating. Recent days under subtropical high pressure produced clearer skies and highs near 34–35°C, but an approaching weather system is expected to increase cloud cover and humidity, limiting intense solar radiation and surface warming. These conditions create tight market-implied odds around 33–35°C, as small shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model consensus over the next 48 hours will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日成都最高溫度？
9月6日成都最高溫度？
34°C 22%
33°C 18%
36°C 18%
35°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
27°C或以下
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
9%
33°C
18%
34°C
22%
35°C
16%
36°C
18%
37°C或以上
3%
34°C 22%
33°C 18%
36°C 18%
35°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
27°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
4%
29°C
$0 交易量
1%
30°C
$69 交易量
3%
31°C
$0 交易量
5%
32°C
$0 交易量
9%
33°C
$2 交易量
18%
34°C
$0 交易量
22%
35°C
$34 交易量
16%
36°C
$13 交易量
18%
37°C或以上
$91 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 6 most likely between 32–34°C, with scattered clouds and possible light rain or showers moderating peak heating. Recent days under subtropical high pressure produced clearer skies and highs near 34–35°C, but an approaching weather system is expected to increase cloud cover and humidity, limiting intense solar radiation and surface warming. These conditions create tight market-implied odds around 33–35°C, as small shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model consensus over the next 48 hours will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$209結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 6 most likely between 32–34°C, with scattered clouds and possible light rain or showers moderating peak heating. Recent days under subtropical high pressure produced clearer skies and highs near 34–35°C, but an approaching weather system is expected to increase cloud cover and humidity, limiting intense solar radiation and surface warming. These conditions create tight market-implied odds around 33–35°C, as small shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model consensus over the next 48 hours will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$209結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 6 most likely between 32–34°C, with scattered clouds and possible light rain or showers moderating peak heating. Recent days under subtropical high pressure produced clearer skies and highs near 34–35°C, but an approaching weather system is expected to increase cloud cover and humidity, limiting intense solar radiation and surface warming. These conditions create tight market-implied odds around 33–35°C, as small shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model consensus over the next 48 hours will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions