Recent KMA forecasts indicate a high of 27–30°C for Busan on September 4, with model consensus centering near 28–29°C amid strengthening northeast winds and increasing cloud cover that limit daytime heating. Cooler maritime air advection and scattered light precipitation or drizzle potential further moderate peak temperatures relative to the warmer, partly cloudy conditions observed on September 2–3. These factors create genuine uncertainty around exact maxima, reflected in the closely matched 28°C and 29°C market-implied odds, while historical September averages near 27°C provide baseline context for traders assessing forecast revisions ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日釜山的最高溫度?
29°C 42%
28°C 32%
30°C 10%
27°C 7%
23°C或以下
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
32%
29°C
33%
30°C
10%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C或以上
1%
29°C 42%
28°C 32%
30°C 10%
27°C 7%
23°C或以下
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
32%
29°C
33%
30°C
10%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent KMA forecasts indicate a high of 27–30°C for Busan on September 4, with model consensus centering near 28–29°C amid strengthening northeast winds and increasing cloud cover that limit daytime heating. Cooler maritime air advection and scattered light precipitation or drizzle potential further moderate peak temperatures relative to the warmer, partly cloudy conditions observed on September 2–3. These factors create genuine uncertainty around exact maxima, reflected in the closely matched 28°C and 29°C market-implied odds, while historical September averages near 27°C provide baseline context for traders assessing forecast revisions ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions