Recent model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a lingering influence from the North Pacific high and warm sea-surface temperatures in the Korea Strait sustaining daytime highs near 29–31°C for Busan on September 2. Coastal sea breezes and possible scattered showers may limit further warming, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 32–33°C as the market consensus. Historical climatology shows early-September maxima averaging 26–28°C, so the slight elevation reflects persistent southerly flow and above-normal August heat that has delayed seasonal cooling. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will determine whether any tropical moisture or wind shift pushes readings toward the 34°C tail or caps them near 31°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日釜山的最高溫度?
32°C 27%
31°C 12%
30°C 10%
29°C 9%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
10%
31°C
12%
32°C
27%
33°C
26%
34°C
4%
35°C
4%
36°C
7%
37°C或以上
<1%
32°C 27%
31°C 12%
30°C 10%
29°C 9%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
10%
31°C
12%
32°C
27%
33°C
26%
34°C
4%
35°C
4%
36°C
7%
37°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a lingering influence from the North Pacific high and warm sea-surface temperatures in the Korea Strait sustaining daytime highs near 29–31°C for Busan on September 2. Coastal sea breezes and possible scattered showers may limit further warming, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 32–33°C as the market consensus. Historical climatology shows early-September maxima averaging 26–28°C, so the slight elevation reflects persistent southerly flow and above-normal August heat that has delayed seasonal cooling. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will determine whether any tropical moisture or wind shift pushes readings toward the 34°C tail or caps them near 31°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions