Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate partly cloudy conditions with scattered thunderstorms and southeasterly flow over Busan on September 1, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 28–30°C amid lingering tropical moisture and moderate sea-surface influence. These patterns explain the market’s concentration on 31–32°C outcomes as plausible peaks during any afternoon clearing, while capping higher readings. Persistent humidity and cloud cover from the North Pacific high’s edge reduce the chance of extreme heating, though short-term model shifts before landfall timing could adjust the ceiling. Updated KMA briefings and high-resolution runs in the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for odds movement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日釜山的最高溫度?
32°C 44%
31°C 22%
30°C 21%
29°C 20%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
15%
29°C
20%
30°C
21%
31°C
22%
32°C
44%
33°C
16%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
32°C 44%
31°C 22%
30°C 21%
29°C 20%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
15%
29°C
20%
30°C
21%
31°C
22%
32°C
44%
33°C
16%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate partly cloudy conditions with scattered thunderstorms and southeasterly flow over Busan on September 1, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 28–30°C amid lingering tropical moisture and moderate sea-surface influence. These patterns explain the market’s concentration on 31–32°C outcomes as plausible peaks during any afternoon clearing, while capping higher readings. Persistent humidity and cloud cover from the North Pacific high’s edge reduce the chance of extreme heating, though short-term model shifts before landfall timing could adjust the ceiling. Updated KMA briefings and high-resolution runs in the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for odds movement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions