**Latest MetService and regional forecasts indicate a daily maximum of 18°C for Wellington on September 4, 2026, under northwesterly flow with gusts easing through the afternoon.** Current observations at Wellington International Airport show temperatures climbing toward this level amid clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, aligning with model consensus from sources like Yr.no and WeatherBug. This outcome reflects the typical spring warming pattern for early September, where daytime highs average near 14–16°C but can reach the upper teens with favorable northerly advection. Traders assign near-certainty to 18°C because ongoing station data and short-range guidance show no significant deviation expected before sunset. Minor risks include localized cooling from increased cloud or stronger southerly shifts, though these appear unlikely given the stable pressure field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
9月4日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
18°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$65,422 交易量
$65,422 交易量
2026-09-04
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或以上
否
18°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$65,422 交易量
$65,422 交易量
2026-09-04
12°C或以下
$399 交易量
否
13°C
$1,400 交易量
否
14°C
$1,702 交易量
否
15°C
$4,657 交易量
否
16°C
$9,781 交易量
否
17°C
$12,629 交易量
否
18°C
$15,000 交易量
是
19°C
$8,833 交易量
否
20°C
$8,670 交易量
否
21°C
$2,053 交易量
否
22°C或以上
$299 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest MetService and regional forecasts indicate a daily maximum of 18°C for Wellington on September 4, 2026, under northwesterly flow with gusts easing through the afternoon.** Current observations at Wellington International Airport show temperatures climbing toward this level amid clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, aligning with model consensus from sources like Yr.no and WeatherBug. This outcome reflects the typical spring warming pattern for early September, where daytime highs average near 14–16°C but can reach the upper teens with favorable northerly advection. Traders assign near-certainty to 18°C because ongoing station data and short-range guidance show no significant deviation expected before sunset. Minor risks include localized cooling from increased cloud or stronger southerly shifts, though these appear unlikely given the stable pressure field.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$65,422結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest MetService and regional forecasts indicate a daily maximum of 18°C for Wellington on September 4, 2026, under northwesterly flow with gusts easing through the afternoon.** Current observations at Wellington International Airport show temperatures climbing toward this level amid clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, aligning with model consensus from sources like Yr.no and WeatherBug. This outcome reflects the typical spring warming pattern for early September, where daytime highs average near 14–16°C but can reach the upper teens with favorable northerly advection. Traders assign near-certainty to 18°C because ongoing station data and short-range guidance show no significant deviation expected before sunset. Minor risks include localized cooling from increased cloud or stronger southerly shifts, though these appear unlikely given the stable pressure field.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$65,422結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Latest MetService and regional forecasts indicate a daily maximum of 18°C for Wellington on September 4, 2026, under northwesterly flow with gusts easing through the afternoon.** Current observations at Wellington International Airport show temperatures climbing toward this level amid clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, aligning with model consensus from sources like Yr.no and WeatherBug. This outcome reflects the typical spring warming pattern for early September, where daytime highs average near 14–16°C but can reach the upper teens with favorable northerly advection. Traders assign near-certainty to 18°C because ongoing station data and short-range guidance show no significant deviation expected before sunset. Minor risks include localized cooling from increased cloud or stronger southerly shifts, though these appear unlikely given the stable pressure field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions