Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and numerical models indicate Moscow's daytime high on September 3 will reach approximately 19°C under cloudy skies with periods of rain and thunderstorms, consistent with the long-term September average high of 19.0°C. Southwesterly winds at 6–11 m/s and high humidity further suppress warming, keeping temperatures from exceeding this threshold according to official guidance. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 19°C reflects this model agreement and proximity to resolution, as real-time observations align closely with projections. Unusually rapid clearing or stronger southerly flow could allow brief spikes toward 20–22°C, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts unlikely before evening cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日莫斯科最高溫度？
9月3日莫斯科最高溫度？
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$44,099 交易量
$44,099 交易量
2026-09-03
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$44,099 交易量
$44,099 交易量
2026-09-03
15°C or below
$2,697 交易量
No
16°C
$8,357 交易量
No
17°C
$7,374 交易量
No
18°C
$5,682 交易量
No
19°C
$6,136 交易量
Yes
20°C
$7,717 交易量
No
21°C
$3,863 交易量
No
22°C
$963 交易量
No
23°C
$561 交易量
No
24°C
$383 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$366 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and numerical models indicate Moscow's daytime high on September 3 will reach approximately 19°C under cloudy skies with periods of rain and thunderstorms, consistent with the long-term September average high of 19.0°C. Southwesterly winds at 6–11 m/s and high humidity further suppress warming, keeping temperatures from exceeding this threshold according to official guidance. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 19°C reflects this model agreement and proximity to resolution, as real-time observations align closely with projections. Unusually rapid clearing or stronger southerly flow could allow brief spikes toward 20–22°C, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts unlikely before evening cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$44,099結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and numerical models indicate Moscow's daytime high on September 3 will reach approximately 19°C under cloudy skies with periods of rain and thunderstorms, consistent with the long-term September average high of 19.0°C. Southwesterly winds at 6–11 m/s and high humidity further suppress warming, keeping temperatures from exceeding this threshold according to official guidance. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 19°C reflects this model agreement and proximity to resolution, as real-time observations align closely with projections. Unusually rapid clearing or stronger southerly flow could allow brief spikes toward 20–22°C, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts unlikely before evening cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$44,099結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and numerical models indicate Moscow's daytime high on September 3 will reach approximately 19°C under cloudy skies with periods of rain and thunderstorms, consistent with the long-term September average high of 19.0°C. Southwesterly winds at 6–11 m/s and high humidity further suppress warming, keeping temperatures from exceeding this threshold according to official guidance. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 19°C reflects this model agreement and proximity to resolution, as real-time observations align closely with projections. Unusually rapid clearing or stronger southerly flow could allow brief spikes toward 20–22°C, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts unlikely before evening cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions