Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a shift to cooler, unsettled conditions over Moscow on September 5, driven by a low-pressure system and southwesterly flow advecting maritime air. Cloud cover, widespread showers, and stronger winds are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping the maximum temperature near or slightly below the 18.5°C climatological average for the date. Trader consensus around 16–18°C reflects model agreement on these factors while acknowledging uncertainty in exact timing of frontal passage and precipitation intensity, which could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated runs from official agencies will provide further clarity ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日莫斯科最高溫度?
18°C 46%
17°C 38%
16°C 23%
20°C 18%
13°C或以下
6%
14°C
6%
15°C
5%
16°C
23%
17°C
38%
18°C
27%
19°C
18%
20°C
18%
21°C
6%
22°C
6%
23°C或更高
6%
18°C 46%
17°C 38%
16°C 23%
20°C 18%
13°C或以下
6%
14°C
6%
15°C
5%
16°C
23%
17°C
38%
18°C
27%
19°C
18%
20°C
18%
21°C
6%
22°C
6%
23°C或更高
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a shift to cooler, unsettled conditions over Moscow on September 5, driven by a low-pressure system and southwesterly flow advecting maritime air. Cloud cover, widespread showers, and stronger winds are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping the maximum temperature near or slightly below the 18.5°C climatological average for the date. Trader consensus around 16–18°C reflects model agreement on these factors while acknowledging uncertainty in exact timing of frontal passage and precipitation intensity, which could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated runs from official agencies will provide further clarity ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions