Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate peak temperatures in Milan on September 3 will likely reach 32–33°C under clear, stable high-pressure conditions with light northerly winds and low humidity around 30–40% by afternoon. Trader consensus splits narrowly between 31°C and 32°C because small differences in maximum solar heating, boundary-layer mixing, or slight model spread in dew points can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical September averages near 26–28°C underscore the current anomalously warm pattern driven by persistent subtropical air, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected to alter the outcome before official Italian meteorological service readings finalize resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日米蘭的最高溫度?
31°C 49%
32°C 39%
30°C 8%
33°C 6%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
49%
32°C
39%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 49%
32°C 39%
30°C 8%
33°C 6%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
49%
32°C
39%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate peak temperatures in Milan on September 3 will likely reach 32–33°C under clear, stable high-pressure conditions with light northerly winds and low humidity around 30–40% by afternoon. Trader consensus splits narrowly between 31°C and 32°C because small differences in maximum solar heating, boundary-layer mixing, or slight model spread in dew points can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical September averages near 26–28°C underscore the current anomalously warm pattern driven by persistent subtropical air, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected to alter the outcome before official Italian meteorological service readings finalize resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions