Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate sunny conditions and light northeasterly winds over Milan on September 4, supporting a daytime maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under a stable high-pressure regime with minimal cloud cover and strong solar insolation. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in boundary-layer mixing or advection patterns create uncertainty around the precise peak, favoring market-implied odds clustered at 32–33°C while assigning lower probability to 34°C or higher. Official observations will resolve at the primary Milan station, where urban heat effects and exact timing of the daily maximum can shift the recorded value by 1–2°C relative to coarser model grids.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日米蘭的最高溫度？
9月4日米蘭的最高溫度？
32°C 48%
33°C 31%
31°C 9%
34°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
27°C或以下
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
41%
33°C
27%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
4%
37°C或以上
4%
32°C 48%
33°C 31%
31°C 9%
34°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
27°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
28°C
$0 交易量
4%
29°C
$0 交易量
2%
30°C
$0 交易量
4%
31°C
$78 交易量
9%
32°C
$173 交易量
41%
33°C
$5 交易量
27%
34°C
$9 交易量
9%
35°C
$10 交易量
2%
36°C
$0 交易量
4%
37°C或以上
$0 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate sunny conditions and light northeasterly winds over Milan on September 4, supporting a daytime maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under a stable high-pressure regime with minimal cloud cover and strong solar insolation. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in boundary-layer mixing or advection patterns create uncertainty around the precise peak, favoring market-implied odds clustered at 32–33°C while assigning lower probability to 34°C or higher. Official observations will resolve at the primary Milan station, where urban heat effects and exact timing of the daily maximum can shift the recorded value by 1–2°C relative to coarser model grids.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$275結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate sunny conditions and light northeasterly winds over Milan on September 4, supporting a daytime maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under a stable high-pressure regime with minimal cloud cover and strong solar insolation. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in boundary-layer mixing or advection patterns create uncertainty around the precise peak, favoring market-implied odds clustered at 32–33°C while assigning lower probability to 34°C or higher. Official observations will resolve at the primary Milan station, where urban heat effects and exact timing of the daily maximum can shift the recorded value by 1–2°C relative to coarser model grids.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$275結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate sunny conditions and light northeasterly winds over Milan on September 4, supporting a daytime maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under a stable high-pressure regime with minimal cloud cover and strong solar insolation. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in boundary-layer mixing or advection patterns create uncertainty around the precise peak, favoring market-implied odds clustered at 32–33°C while assigning lower probability to 34°C or higher. Official observations will resolve at the primary Milan station, where urban heat effects and exact timing of the daily maximum can shift the recorded value by 1–2°C relative to coarser model grids.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions