Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and WeatherBug indicate peak daytime temperatures in Jeddah on September 4 will likely reach 37–40°C under mostly clear skies, driven by persistent high pressure, light to moderate northwest winds off the Red Sea, and typical late-summer humidity levels around 40–60%. Model consensus favors 38°C as the most probable daily maximum, reflecting the moderating influence of coastal breezes that prevent extreme spikes while maintaining heat. Trader-implied odds align with this narrow band, as historical September climatology shows averages near 37°C with low day-to-day variability absent unusual atmospheric shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours could refine the exact high and influence resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達9月4日最高溫度?
38°C 43%
39°C 28%
37°C 15%
40°C 5%
31°C或以下
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
4%
37°C
15%
38°C
43%
39°C
28%
40°C
5%
41°C或以上
3%
38°C 43%
39°C 28%
37°C 15%
40°C 5%
31°C或以下
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
4%
37°C
15%
38°C
43%
39°C
28%
40°C
5%
41°C或以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and WeatherBug indicate peak daytime temperatures in Jeddah on September 4 will likely reach 37–40°C under mostly clear skies, driven by persistent high pressure, light to moderate northwest winds off the Red Sea, and typical late-summer humidity levels around 40–60%. Model consensus favors 38°C as the most probable daily maximum, reflecting the moderating influence of coastal breezes that prevent extreme spikes while maintaining heat. Trader-implied odds align with this narrow band, as historical September climatology shows averages near 37°C with low day-to-day variability absent unusual atmospheric shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours could refine the exact high and influence resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions