Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate a high of 24–26°C for Munich on September 3 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. This reflects stable high-pressure influence and typical early-September patterns rather than anomalous warming, with ensemble guidance showing limited spread and no major model disagreements. Historical averages near 22°C provide context, though recent years have seen occasional spikes above 28°C under different synoptic setups. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum, particularly afternoon peak values used for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日慕尼黑最高溫度?
25°C 44%
26°C 33%
24°C 11%
27°C 8%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
11%
25°C
44%
26°C
33%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
25°C 44%
26°C 33%
24°C 11%
27°C 8%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
11%
25°C
44%
26°C
33%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate a high of 24–26°C for Munich on September 3 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. This reflects stable high-pressure influence and typical early-September patterns rather than anomalous warming, with ensemble guidance showing limited spread and no major model disagreements. Historical averages near 22°C provide context, though recent years have seen occasional spikes above 28°C under different synoptic setups. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum, particularly afternoon peak values used for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions