Recent numerical weather prediction models, including outputs from global and regional systems, indicate a highest temperature in Munich on September 1 around 22–24°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the climatological average high of 22.2°C and reflects stable late-summer conditions without strong high-pressure ridges or incoming cold fronts to drive significant deviations. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 23–24°C outcomes, consistent with ensemble spread narrowing as the date approaches and limited model disagreement on maximum values. Historical records show September 1 highs ranging from the low teens to over 30°C, underscoring how current stable steering patterns support the market's concentration on near-average results.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日慕尼黑的最高溫度?
24°C 45%
23°C 32%
25°C 13%
22°C 12%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
6%
22°C
12%
23°C
32%
24°C
45%
25°C
13%
26°C
7%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
23°C 32%
25°C 13%
22°C 12%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
6%
22°C
12%
23°C
32%
24°C
45%
25°C
13%
26°C
7%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction models, including outputs from global and regional systems, indicate a highest temperature in Munich on September 1 around 22–24°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the climatological average high of 22.2°C and reflects stable late-summer conditions without strong high-pressure ridges or incoming cold fronts to drive significant deviations. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 23–24°C outcomes, consistent with ensemble spread narrowing as the date approaches and limited model disagreement on maximum values. Historical records show September 1 highs ranging from the low teens to over 30°C, underscoring how current stable steering patterns support the market's concentration on near-average results.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions