Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and European forecasts indicates Munich's overnight minimum on September 3 will likely settle near 13–14 °C, consistent with the near-even market shares for 12 °C and 14 °C. Westerly winds of 3–5 m/s, combined with increasing low- to mid-level cloud cover after midnight, are limiting radiational cooling under a stable 1020–1022 hPa ridge. Dew points around 10–12 °C and modest humidity support boundary-layer temperatures that hover just above the long-term September 3 average low of 12 °C. Minor differences among ensemble members hinge on the exact timing of peak cloud thickness and any localized drainage of cooler air from surrounding terrain, keeping the 12–14 °C range the dominant focus for traders monitoring the final hours before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日慕尼黑最低溫度？
9月3日慕尼黑最低溫度？
12°C 8%
11°C or below 3%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
11°C or below
3%
12°C
8%
13°C
43%
14°C
55%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
12°C 8%
11°C or below 3%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
11°C or below
$181 交易量
3%
12°C
$39 交易量
8%
13°C
$0 交易量
43%
14°C
$0 交易量
55%
15°C
$149 交易量
<1%
16°C
$410 交易量
<1%
17°C
$140 交易量
<1%
18°C
$30 交易量
<1%
19°C
$30 交易量
<1%
20°C
$30 交易量
<1%
21°C or higher
$45 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and European forecasts indicates Munich's overnight minimum on September 3 will likely settle near 13–14 °C, consistent with the near-even market shares for 12 °C and 14 °C. Westerly winds of 3–5 m/s, combined with increasing low- to mid-level cloud cover after midnight, are limiting radiational cooling under a stable 1020–1022 hPa ridge. Dew points around 10–12 °C and modest humidity support boundary-layer temperatures that hover just above the long-term September 3 average low of 12 °C. Minor differences among ensemble members hinge on the exact timing of peak cloud thickness and any localized drainage of cooler air from surrounding terrain, keeping the 12–14 °C range the dominant focus for traders monitoring the final hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,054結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and European forecasts indicates Munich's overnight minimum on September 3 will likely settle near 13–14 °C, consistent with the near-even market shares for 12 °C and 14 °C. Westerly winds of 3–5 m/s, combined with increasing low- to mid-level cloud cover after midnight, are limiting radiational cooling under a stable 1020–1022 hPa ridge. Dew points around 10–12 °C and modest humidity support boundary-layer temperatures that hover just above the long-term September 3 average low of 12 °C. Minor differences among ensemble members hinge on the exact timing of peak cloud thickness and any localized drainage of cooler air from surrounding terrain, keeping the 12–14 °C range the dominant focus for traders monitoring the final hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,054結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources like the GFS and European forecasts indicates Munich's overnight minimum on September 3 will likely settle near 13–14 °C, consistent with the near-even market shares for 12 °C and 14 °C. Westerly winds of 3–5 m/s, combined with increasing low- to mid-level cloud cover after midnight, are limiting radiational cooling under a stable 1020–1022 hPa ridge. Dew points around 10–12 °C and modest humidity support boundary-layer temperatures that hover just above the long-term September 3 average low of 12 °C. Minor differences among ensemble members hinge on the exact timing of peak cloud thickness and any localized drainage of cooler air from surrounding terrain, keeping the 12–14 °C range the dominant focus for traders monitoring the final hours before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions