Recent short-range forecasts from models aligned with the China Meteorological Administration indicate mostly sunny conditions over Chongqing on September 3, supporting daily highs near 34°C amid light winds and low humidity. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–35°C, as traders weigh numerical weather prediction outputs showing limited cloud cover and stable high pressure. Genuine uncertainty persists from small differences in model resolution of local basin topography and afternoon heating rates, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C. New runs from global ensembles and official briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the temperature trajectory before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日重慶氣溫最高？
9月3日重慶氣溫最高？
34°C 34%
35°C 30%
32°C 14%
36°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
30°C or below
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
9%
33°C
10%
34°C
34%
35°C
30%
36°C
14%
37°C
9%
38°C
7%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
2%
34°C 34%
35°C 30%
32°C 14%
36°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
30°C or below
$0 交易量
3%
31°C
$35 交易量
6%
32°C
$19 交易量
9%
33°C
$16 交易量
10%
34°C
$0 交易量
34%
35°C
$46 交易量
30%
36°C
$5 交易量
14%
37°C
$20 交易量
9%
38°C
$65 交易量
7%
39°C
$5 交易量
2%
40°C or higher
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models aligned with the China Meteorological Administration indicate mostly sunny conditions over Chongqing on September 3, supporting daily highs near 34°C amid light winds and low humidity. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–35°C, as traders weigh numerical weather prediction outputs showing limited cloud cover and stable high pressure. Genuine uncertainty persists from small differences in model resolution of local basin topography and afternoon heating rates, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C. New runs from global ensembles and official briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the temperature trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$216結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models aligned with the China Meteorological Administration indicate mostly sunny conditions over Chongqing on September 3, supporting daily highs near 34°C amid light winds and low humidity. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–35°C, as traders weigh numerical weather prediction outputs showing limited cloud cover and stable high pressure. Genuine uncertainty persists from small differences in model resolution of local basin topography and afternoon heating rates, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C. New runs from global ensembles and official briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the temperature trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$216結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from models aligned with the China Meteorological Administration indicate mostly sunny conditions over Chongqing on September 3, supporting daily highs near 34°C amid light winds and low humidity. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–35°C, as traders weigh numerical weather prediction outputs showing limited cloud cover and stable high pressure. Genuine uncertainty persists from small differences in model resolution of local basin topography and afternoon heating rates, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C. New runs from global ensembles and official briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the temperature trajectory before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions