Current observational data from Istanbul monitoring stations and short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service show a daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 25°C on September 3, supported by moderate northeasterly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and typical early-September climatology with average highs near 25–26°C. This alignment has produced near-unanimous trader consensus at the exact 25°C threshold, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of real-time measurements over broader model ranges. Minor deviations remain possible if station-specific microclimates or final hourly readings shift by 1°C, though consensus across ensembles currently limits such outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
9月3日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,231 交易量
$24,231 交易量
2026-09-03
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,231 交易量
$24,231 交易量
2026-09-03
21°C or below
$299 交易量
No
22°C
$459 交易量
No
23°C
$497 交易量
No
24°C
$939 交易量
No
25°C
$8,396 交易量
Yes
26°C
$7,855 交易量
No
27°C
$2,869 交易量
No
28°C
$1,617 交易量
No
29°C
$778 交易量
No
30°C
$356 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$166 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data from Istanbul monitoring stations and short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service show a daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 25°C on September 3, supported by moderate northeasterly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and typical early-September climatology with average highs near 25–26°C. This alignment has produced near-unanimous trader consensus at the exact 25°C threshold, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of real-time measurements over broader model ranges. Minor deviations remain possible if station-specific microclimates or final hourly readings shift by 1°C, though consensus across ensembles currently limits such outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$24,231結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data from Istanbul monitoring stations and short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service show a daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 25°C on September 3, supported by moderate northeasterly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and typical early-September climatology with average highs near 25–26°C. This alignment has produced near-unanimous trader consensus at the exact 25°C threshold, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of real-time measurements over broader model ranges. Minor deviations remain possible if station-specific microclimates or final hourly readings shift by 1°C, though consensus across ensembles currently limits such outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24,231結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current observational data from Istanbul monitoring stations and short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service show a daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 25°C on September 3, supported by moderate northeasterly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and typical early-September climatology with average highs near 25–26°C. This alignment has produced near-unanimous trader consensus at the exact 25°C threshold, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of real-time measurements over broader model ranges. Minor deviations remain possible if station-specific microclimates or final hourly readings shift by 1°C, though consensus across ensembles currently limits such outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions