Strong model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF forecasts has locked in a minimum temperature of 15°C for Helsinki on August 30, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and clear skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Official station observations through the afternoon have remained above this threshold with minimal diurnal variation, aligning closely with climatological norms for late summer in southern Finland. The 100% market-implied probability captures traders' confidence in these verified inputs and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range surface temperature predictions. Only an unprecedented sensor malfunction or last-hour frontal passage could alter the recorded low, both of which remain highly improbable given real-time monitoring.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日赫爾辛基最低溫度？
8月30日赫爾辛基最低溫度？
15°C 100.0%
14°C 19%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
$1,912 交易量
$1,912 交易量
2026-08-30
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
14°C 19%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
$1,912 交易量
$1,912 交易量
2026-08-30
11°C or below
$52 交易量
No
12°C
$130 交易量
No
13°C
$86 交易量
No
14°C
$32 交易量
No
15°C
$834 交易量
Yes
16°C
$273 交易量
No
17°C
$310 交易量
No
18°C
$50 交易量
No
19°C
$45 交易量
No
20°C
$55 交易量
No
21°C or higher
$45 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF forecasts has locked in a minimum temperature of 15°C for Helsinki on August 30, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and clear skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Official station observations through the afternoon have remained above this threshold with minimal diurnal variation, aligning closely with climatological norms for late summer in southern Finland. The 100% market-implied probability captures traders' confidence in these verified inputs and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range surface temperature predictions. Only an unprecedented sensor malfunction or last-hour frontal passage could alter the recorded low, both of which remain highly improbable given real-time monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,912結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF forecasts has locked in a minimum temperature of 15°C for Helsinki on August 30, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and clear skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Official station observations through the afternoon have remained above this threshold with minimal diurnal variation, aligning closely with climatological norms for late summer in southern Finland. The 100% market-implied probability captures traders' confidence in these verified inputs and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range surface temperature predictions. Only an unprecedented sensor malfunction or last-hour frontal passage could alter the recorded low, both of which remain highly improbable given real-time monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,912結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Strong model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF forecasts has locked in a minimum temperature of 15°C for Helsinki on August 30, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and clear skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Official station observations through the afternoon have remained above this threshold with minimal diurnal variation, aligning closely with climatological norms for late summer in southern Finland. The 100% market-implied probability captures traders' confidence in these verified inputs and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range surface temperature predictions. Only an unprecedented sensor malfunction or last-hour frontal passage could alter the recorded low, both of which remain highly improbable given real-time monitoring.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions