**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Helsinki have positioned the overnight low near the long-term average of 11.5 °C, driving the market’s concentration on 9–11 °C outcomes.** Early September radiative cooling under light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, consistent with climatological norms for the date. Multiple forecast models converge on a minimum of 10–13 °C during the night of 2 September, with several sources (including Finnish and international ensembles) highlighting 11 °C as the most probable value. No significant warm-air advection or frontal systems have altered the pattern in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored close to historical baselines rather than extremes. The 52 % implied probability on 11 °C and secondary support for 10 °C and 9 °C reflect traders’ assessment that the minimum will fall within the typical interquartile range for early-autumn nights at this latitude, with limited upside from any late-day warming.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日赫爾辛基最低溫度？
9月2日赫爾辛基最低溫度？
11°C 99.9%
9°C 7.3%
10°C 2.0%
6°C or below <1%
$1,125 交易量
$1,125 交易量
2026-09-02
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
11°C 99.9%
9°C 7.3%
10°C 2.0%
6°C or below <1%
$1,125 交易量
$1,125 交易量
2026-09-02
6°C or below
$35 交易量
No
7°C
$90 交易量
No
8°C
$143 交易量
No
9°C
$154 交易量
No
10°C
$191 交易量
No
11°C
$259 交易量
Yes
12°C
$84 交易量
No
13°C
$68 交易量
No
14°C
$20 交易量
No
15°C
$40 交易量
No
16°C or higher
$40 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Helsinki have positioned the overnight low near the long-term average of 11.5 °C, driving the market’s concentration on 9–11 °C outcomes.**
Early September radiative cooling under light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, consistent with climatological norms for the date. Multiple forecast models converge on a minimum of 10–13 °C during the night of 2 September, with several sources (including Finnish and international ensembles) highlighting 11 °C as the most probable value. No significant warm-air advection or frontal systems have altered the pattern in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored close to historical baselines rather than extremes. The 52 % implied probability on 11 °C and secondary support for 10 °C and 9 °C reflect traders’ assessment that the minimum will fall within the typical interquartile range for early-autumn nights at this latitude, with limited upside from any late-day warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,125結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Helsinki have positioned the overnight low near the long-term average of 11.5 °C, driving the market’s concentration on 9–11 °C outcomes.**
Early September radiative cooling under light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, consistent with climatological norms for the date. Multiple forecast models converge on a minimum of 10–13 °C during the night of 2 September, with several sources (including Finnish and international ensembles) highlighting 11 °C as the most probable value. No significant warm-air advection or frontal systems have altered the pattern in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored close to historical baselines rather than extremes. The 52 % implied probability on 11 °C and secondary support for 10 °C and 9 °C reflect traders’ assessment that the minimum will fall within the typical interquartile range for early-autumn nights at this latitude, with limited upside from any late-day warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,125結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Helsinki have positioned the overnight low near the long-term average of 11.5 °C, driving the market’s concentration on 9–11 °C outcomes.** Early September radiative cooling under light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, consistent with climatological norms for the date. Multiple forecast models converge on a minimum of 10–13 °C during the night of 2 September, with several sources (including Finnish and international ensembles) highlighting 11 °C as the most probable value. No significant warm-air advection or frontal systems have altered the pattern in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored close to historical baselines rather than extremes. The 52 % implied probability on 11 °C and secondary support for 10 °C and 9 °C reflect traders’ assessment that the minimum will fall within the typical interquartile range for early-autumn nights at this latitude, with limited upside from any late-day warming.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions