**Trader consensus has locked in an implied probability of 100% for an 8°C low on August 27, 2026, reflecting official observational data from Helsinki's primary monitoring stations.** Clear, calm nighttime conditions under high pressure promoted strong radiative cooling after sunset, allowing surface temperatures to drop well below the 1991–2020 average low of 12.2°C. Hourly model guidance and station reports converged on a minimum near 8°C during the early morning hours before daytime heating began, with no significant cloud cover or wind to moderate the decline. This outcome aligns with historical precedents for the date when similar synoptic setups occurred. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event quality-control revisions to the official record or discrepancies between station networks, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日赫爾辛基最低溫度?
8°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$16,337 交易量
$16,337 交易量
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C或更高
否
8°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$16,337 交易量
$16,337 交易量
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus has locked in an implied probability of 100% for an 8°C low on August 27, 2026, reflecting official observational data from Helsinki's primary monitoring stations.** Clear, calm nighttime conditions under high pressure promoted strong radiative cooling after sunset, allowing surface temperatures to drop well below the 1991–2020 average low of 12.2°C. Hourly model guidance and station reports converged on a minimum near 8°C during the early morning hours before daytime heating began, with no significant cloud cover or wind to moderate the decline. This outcome aligns with historical precedents for the date when similar synoptic setups occurred. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event quality-control revisions to the official record or discrepancies between station networks, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions