Forecast models from ECMWF and KNMI currently indicate a maximum of 26–27°C for Amsterdam on August 27, placing those outcomes at the center of trader positioning. Late-August climatology features a seasonal decline toward 21–22°C averages, so the elevated readings reflect a transient ridge or warmer southerly flow overriding the baseline. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited downside risk below 25°C or upside above 28°C given stable high pressure and minimal frontal activity expected through the period. KNMI station observations at the official Amsterdam site will determine resolution, and the next high-resolution model cycles over the coming 48 hours represent the primary catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before markets close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月27日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
27°C 39%
26°C 28%
28°C 18%
29°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
28%
27°C
39%
28°C
18%
29°C
7%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
<1%
27°C 39%
26°C 28%
28°C 18%
29°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
22°C or below
$10 交易量
4%
23°C
$0 交易量
4%
24°C
$0 交易量
3%
25°C
$77 交易量
6%
26°C
$195 交易量
28%
27°C
$73 交易量
39%
28°C
$13 交易量
18%
29°C
$0 交易量
7%
30°C
$0 交易量
5%
31°C
$0 交易量
1%
32°C或以上
$51 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF and KNMI currently indicate a maximum of 26–27°C for Amsterdam on August 27, placing those outcomes at the center of trader positioning. Late-August climatology features a seasonal decline toward 21–22°C averages, so the elevated readings reflect a transient ridge or warmer southerly flow overriding the baseline. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited downside risk below 25°C or upside above 28°C given stable high pressure and minimal frontal activity expected through the period. KNMI station observations at the official Amsterdam site will determine resolution, and the next high-resolution model cycles over the coming 48 hours represent the primary catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$419結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF and KNMI currently indicate a maximum of 26–27°C for Amsterdam on August 27, placing those outcomes at the center of trader positioning. Late-August climatology features a seasonal decline toward 21–22°C averages, so the elevated readings reflect a transient ridge or warmer southerly flow overriding the baseline. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited downside risk below 25°C or upside above 28°C given stable high pressure and minimal frontal activity expected through the period. KNMI station observations at the official Amsterdam site will determine resolution, and the next high-resolution model cycles over the coming 48 hours represent the primary catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$419結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETForecast models from ECMWF and KNMI currently indicate a maximum of 26–27°C for Amsterdam on August 27, placing those outcomes at the center of trader positioning. Late-August climatology features a seasonal decline toward 21–22°C averages, so the elevated readings reflect a transient ridge or warmer southerly flow overriding the baseline. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited downside risk below 25°C or upside above 28°C given stable high pressure and minimal frontal activity expected through the period. KNMI station observations at the official Amsterdam site will determine resolution, and the next high-resolution model cycles over the coming 48 hours represent the primary catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before markets close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions