Current forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate a likely maximum temperature in Munich on August 25 around 22–24°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light westerly winds and possible showers. This positioning explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 50% for 19–23°C outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover, timing of any frontal passage, or model bias can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 23°C provide context, yet late-summer variability and short-range model spreads sustain the balanced probabilities across these thresholds while rendering extremes below 18°C or above 23°C far less likely ahead of final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
8月25日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
21°C 31%
22°C 30%
23°C or higher 25%
20°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
11%
20°C
15%
21°C
31%
22°C
40%
23°C or higher
25%
21°C 31%
22°C 30%
23°C or higher 25%
20°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
13°C or below
$0 交易量
1%
14°C
$0 交易量
1%
15°C
$0 交易量
1%
16°C
$0 交易量
1%
17°C
$0 交易量
1%
18°C
$0 交易量
2%
19°C
$0 交易量
11%
20°C
$0 交易量
15%
21°C
$2 交易量
31%
22°C
$0 交易量
40%
23°C or higher
$0 交易量
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate a likely maximum temperature in Munich on August 25 around 22–24°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light westerly winds and possible showers. This positioning explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 50% for 19–23°C outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover, timing of any frontal passage, or model bias can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 23°C provide context, yet late-summer variability and short-range model spreads sustain the balanced probabilities across these thresholds while rendering extremes below 18°C or above 23°C far less likely ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate a likely maximum temperature in Munich on August 25 around 22–24°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light westerly winds and possible showers. This positioning explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 50% for 19–23°C outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover, timing of any frontal passage, or model bias can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 23°C provide context, yet late-summer variability and short-range model spreads sustain the balanced probabilities across these thresholds while rendering extremes below 18°C or above 23°C far less likely ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate a likely maximum temperature in Munich on August 25 around 22–24°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light westerly winds and possible showers. This positioning explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 50% for 19–23°C outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover, timing of any frontal passage, or model bias can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 23°C provide context, yet late-summer variability and short-range model spreads sustain the balanced probabilities across these thresholds while rendering extremes below 18°C or above 23°C far less likely ahead of final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions