Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models show substantial spread in minimum temperatures over southern Germany for August 25, with differing projections for nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and weak northerly advection. This uncertainty drives the near-even split between the 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher brackets, while clustering around 12–14°C outcomes reflects historical late-August climatology near 13°C. Key differentiating factors include potential clear-sky conditions enhancing surface heat loss versus increased humidity or lingering warm air that limits cooling, with updated model runs and observational data from the German Weather Service expected to narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日慕尼黑最低溫度？
8月25日慕尼黑最低溫度？
8°C or below 59%
18°C or higher 59%
13°C 28%
12°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
8°C or below
59%
9°C
8%
10°C
11%
11°C
19%
12°C
28%
13°C
28%
14°C
27%
15°C
22%
16°C
1%
17°C
13%
18°C or higher
59%
8°C or below 59%
18°C or higher 59%
13°C 28%
12°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
8°C or below
$5 交易量
59%
9°C
$0 交易量
8%
10°C
$0 交易量
11%
11°C
$0 交易量
19%
12°C
$0 交易量
28%
13°C
$0 交易量
28%
14°C
$0 交易量
27%
15°C
$0 交易量
22%
16°C
$5 交易量
1%
17°C
$5 交易量
13%
18°C or higher
$5 交易量
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models show substantial spread in minimum temperatures over southern Germany for August 25, with differing projections for nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and weak northerly advection. This uncertainty drives the near-even split between the 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher brackets, while clustering around 12–14°C outcomes reflects historical late-August climatology near 13°C. Key differentiating factors include potential clear-sky conditions enhancing surface heat loss versus increased humidity or lingering warm air that limits cooling, with updated model runs and observational data from the German Weather Service expected to narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$20結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models show substantial spread in minimum temperatures over southern Germany for August 25, with differing projections for nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and weak northerly advection. This uncertainty drives the near-even split between the 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher brackets, while clustering around 12–14°C outcomes reflects historical late-August climatology near 13°C. Key differentiating factors include potential clear-sky conditions enhancing surface heat loss versus increased humidity or lingering warm air that limits cooling, with updated model runs and observational data from the German Weather Service expected to narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from European and global models show substantial spread in minimum temperatures over southern Germany for August 25, with differing projections for nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and weak northerly advection. This uncertainty drives the near-even split between the 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher brackets, while clustering around 12–14°C outcomes reflects historical late-August climatology near 13°C. Key differentiating factors include potential clear-sky conditions enhancing surface heat loss versus increased humidity or lingering warm air that limits cooling, with updated model runs and observational data from the German Weather Service expected to narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions