Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show model spread centered on 32–34°C for Qingdao’s August 25 high, driven by lingering East Asian heat influenced by a strong El Niño that has elevated regional temperatures above climatological norms. Coastal sea breezes and variable humidity levels introduce uncertainty in maximum readings, while urban heat island effects and subsidence under high pressure could push values toward the upper end of the range. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 32–34°C reflects traders weighing these variables against historical August averages near 29–31°C and upcoming model runs that may refine land-sea temperature contrasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日青島氣溫最高？
8月25日青島氣溫最高？
33°C 31%
32°C 30%
34°C 23%
31°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
11%
31°C
15%
32°C
30%
33°C
31%
34°C
23%
35°C或以上
3%
33°C 31%
32°C 30%
34°C 23%
31°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
25°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
26°C
$0 交易量
<1%
27°C
$0 交易量
<1%
28°C
$5 交易量
2%
29°C
$5 交易量
2%
30°C
$10 交易量
11%
31°C
$0 交易量
15%
32°C
$11 交易量
30%
33°C
$19 交易量
31%
34°C
$168 交易量
23%
35°C或以上
$405 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show model spread centered on 32–34°C for Qingdao’s August 25 high, driven by lingering East Asian heat influenced by a strong El Niño that has elevated regional temperatures above climatological norms. Coastal sea breezes and variable humidity levels introduce uncertainty in maximum readings, while urban heat island effects and subsidence under high pressure could push values toward the upper end of the range. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 32–34°C reflects traders weighing these variables against historical August averages near 29–31°C and upcoming model runs that may refine land-sea temperature contrasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$622結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show model spread centered on 32–34°C for Qingdao’s August 25 high, driven by lingering East Asian heat influenced by a strong El Niño that has elevated regional temperatures above climatological norms. Coastal sea breezes and variable humidity levels introduce uncertainty in maximum readings, while urban heat island effects and subsidence under high pressure could push values toward the upper end of the range. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 32–34°C reflects traders weighing these variables against historical August averages near 29–31°C and upcoming model runs that may refine land-sea temperature contrasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$622結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show model spread centered on 32–34°C for Qingdao’s August 25 high, driven by lingering East Asian heat influenced by a strong El Niño that has elevated regional temperatures above climatological norms. Coastal sea breezes and variable humidity levels introduce uncertainty in maximum readings, while urban heat island effects and subsidence under high pressure could push values toward the upper end of the range. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 32–34°C reflects traders weighing these variables against historical August averages near 29–31°C and upcoming model runs that may refine land-sea temperature contrasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions