Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a narrow range of daily maximum temperatures around 30–32°C for Qingdao on August 27, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds near those thresholds. Subtropical high pressure and weak synoptic flow limit strong advection, while coastal sea breezes and variable low-level moisture introduce small differences in afternoon heating and boundary-layer mixing that separate the leading outcomes. Recent model runs show modest spread tied to cloud-cover timing and sea-surface temperature anomalies along the Yellow Sea, with historical late-August averages near 28–30°C providing context. Updated numerical guidance and local CMA observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日青島氣溫最高？
8月27日青島氣溫最高？
31°C 35%
30°C 29%
32°C 24%
33°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
12%
30°C
29%
31°C
35%
32°C
24%
33°C
20%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
31°C 35%
30°C 29%
32°C 24%
33°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
25°C或以下
$175 交易量
<1%
26°C
$0 交易量
1%
27°C
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
4%
29°C
$5 交易量
12%
30°C
$6 交易量
29%
31°C
$0 交易量
35%
32°C
$0 交易量
24%
33°C
$0 交易量
20%
34°C
$5 交易量
<1%
35°C或以上
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a narrow range of daily maximum temperatures around 30–32°C for Qingdao on August 27, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds near those thresholds. Subtropical high pressure and weak synoptic flow limit strong advection, while coastal sea breezes and variable low-level moisture introduce small differences in afternoon heating and boundary-layer mixing that separate the leading outcomes. Recent model runs show modest spread tied to cloud-cover timing and sea-surface temperature anomalies along the Yellow Sea, with historical late-August averages near 28–30°C providing context. Updated numerical guidance and local CMA observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$190結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a narrow range of daily maximum temperatures around 30–32°C for Qingdao on August 27, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds near those thresholds. Subtropical high pressure and weak synoptic flow limit strong advection, while coastal sea breezes and variable low-level moisture introduce small differences in afternoon heating and boundary-layer mixing that separate the leading outcomes. Recent model runs show modest spread tied to cloud-cover timing and sea-surface temperature anomalies along the Yellow Sea, with historical late-August averages near 28–30°C providing context. Updated numerical guidance and local CMA observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$190結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a narrow range of daily maximum temperatures around 30–32°C for Qingdao on August 27, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds near those thresholds. Subtropical high pressure and weak synoptic flow limit strong advection, while coastal sea breezes and variable low-level moisture introduce small differences in afternoon heating and boundary-layer mixing that separate the leading outcomes. Recent model runs show modest spread tied to cloud-cover timing and sea-surface temperature anomalies along the Yellow Sea, with historical late-August averages near 28–30°C providing context. Updated numerical guidance and local CMA observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions