Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other agencies indicate cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms on August 27, which will limit daytime heating and keep Tokyo's maximum temperature near 30–32 °C. Recent observations show surface highs reaching 33–35 °C on August 25–26 under clearer conditions, but an approaching frontal boundary and increased humidity are expected to enhance cloud cover, reducing insolation and promoting convective activity that caps afternoon peaks. Historical August climatology for central Tokyo averages 31 °C, providing context for the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 30–32 °C. Forecasters note typical model spread in timing and intensity of showers, leaving modest uncertainty in whether the daily high reaches 33 °C or stays at 29–30 °C depending on the exact onset of precipitation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日東京氣溫最高？
8月27日東京氣溫最高？
31°C 29%
30°C 26%
32°C 15%
29°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
12%
30°C
26%
31°C
29%
32°C
15%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
31°C 29%
30°C 26%
32°C 15%
29°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
27°C or below
$270 交易量
1%
28°C
$309 交易量
2%
29°C
$1,302 交易量
12%
30°C
$1,398 交易量
26%
31°C
$363 交易量
29%
32°C
$1,028 交易量
15%
33°C
$754 交易量
7%
34°C
$1,133 交易量
3%
35°C
$258 交易量
3%
36°C
$1,149 交易量
1%
37°C or higher
$423 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other agencies indicate cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms on August 27, which will limit daytime heating and keep Tokyo's maximum temperature near 30–32 °C. Recent observations show surface highs reaching 33–35 °C on August 25–26 under clearer conditions, but an approaching frontal boundary and increased humidity are expected to enhance cloud cover, reducing insolation and promoting convective activity that caps afternoon peaks. Historical August climatology for central Tokyo averages 31 °C, providing context for the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 30–32 °C. Forecasters note typical model spread in timing and intensity of showers, leaving modest uncertainty in whether the daily high reaches 33 °C or stays at 29–30 °C depending on the exact onset of precipitation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$8,387結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other agencies indicate cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms on August 27, which will limit daytime heating and keep Tokyo's maximum temperature near 30–32 °C. Recent observations show surface highs reaching 33–35 °C on August 25–26 under clearer conditions, but an approaching frontal boundary and increased humidity are expected to enhance cloud cover, reducing insolation and promoting convective activity that caps afternoon peaks. Historical August climatology for central Tokyo averages 31 °C, providing context for the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 30–32 °C. Forecasters note typical model spread in timing and intensity of showers, leaving modest uncertainty in whether the daily high reaches 33 °C or stays at 29–30 °C depending on the exact onset of precipitation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,387結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other agencies indicate cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms on August 27, which will limit daytime heating and keep Tokyo's maximum temperature near 30–32 °C. Recent observations show surface highs reaching 33–35 °C on August 25–26 under clearer conditions, but an approaching frontal boundary and increased humidity are expected to enhance cloud cover, reducing insolation and promoting convective activity that caps afternoon peaks. Historical August climatology for central Tokyo averages 31 °C, providing context for the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 30–32 °C. Forecasters note typical model spread in timing and intensity of showers, leaving modest uncertainty in whether the daily high reaches 33 °C or stays at 29–30 °C depending on the exact onset of precipitation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions