Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 26 indicate a daytime maximum near 33–34°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible after midday and light northeasterly flow. Persistent cloud cover and 20–30% precipitation chances limit peak solar insolation and convective heating relative to clearer conditions on the 25th, keeping readings close to the late-August climatological average near 31–32°C. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around this range, with brief afternoon clearing the main variable that could allow a one-degree nudge higher. High humidity and dew points near 24°C further moderate surface warming. Trader positioning around 34°C as the slight favorite reflects these near-term conditions while acknowledging forecast uncertainty two days out.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日東京氣溫最高？
8月26日東京氣溫最高？
34°C 40%
35°C 30%
33°C 13%
36°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
6%
32°C
8%
33°C
20%
34°C
40%
35°C
30%
36°C
11%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 40%
35°C 30%
33°C 13%
36°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
28°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
29°C
$0 交易量
<1%
30°C
$5 交易量
<1%
31°C
$5 交易量
6%
32°C
$228 交易量
8%
33°C
$5 交易量
20%
34°C
$129 交易量
40%
35°C
$38 交易量
30%
36°C
$163 交易量
11%
37°C
$0 交易量
3%
38°C or higher
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 26 indicate a daytime maximum near 33–34°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible after midday and light northeasterly flow. Persistent cloud cover and 20–30% precipitation chances limit peak solar insolation and convective heating relative to clearer conditions on the 25th, keeping readings close to the late-August climatological average near 31–32°C. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around this range, with brief afternoon clearing the main variable that could allow a one-degree nudge higher. High humidity and dew points near 24°C further moderate surface warming. Trader positioning around 34°C as the slight favorite reflects these near-term conditions while acknowledging forecast uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$573結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 26 indicate a daytime maximum near 33–34°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible after midday and light northeasterly flow. Persistent cloud cover and 20–30% precipitation chances limit peak solar insolation and convective heating relative to clearer conditions on the 25th, keeping readings close to the late-August climatological average near 31–32°C. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around this range, with brief afternoon clearing the main variable that could allow a one-degree nudge higher. High humidity and dew points near 24°C further moderate surface warming. Trader positioning around 34°C as the slight favorite reflects these near-term conditions while acknowledging forecast uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$573結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETJapan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 26 indicate a daytime maximum near 33–34°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible after midday and light northeasterly flow. Persistent cloud cover and 20–30% precipitation chances limit peak solar insolation and convective heating relative to clearer conditions on the 25th, keeping readings close to the late-August climatological average near 31–32°C. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around this range, with brief afternoon clearing the main variable that could allow a one-degree nudge higher. High humidity and dew points near 24°C further moderate surface warming. Trader positioning around 34°C as the slight favorite reflects these near-term conditions while acknowledging forecast uncertainty two days out.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions