Trader consensus places the highest probability on a 25°C peak for Cape Town on August 26 because recent ensemble model runs show modest warming from southeasterly winds and reduced cloud cover allowing greater solar heating, building on the mild, mostly clear conditions observed through August 24. However, the broad probability distribution across 23–27°C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty, with key variables including exact timing of any cloud increase, wind speed variations that could enhance or suppress daytime heating, and differences among global and regional models. Official monitoring from South African agencies will refine these inputs ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日開普敦最高溫度？
8月26日開普敦最高溫度？
25°C 34%
26°C 24%
24°C 22%
23°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
20°C或以下
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
16%
24°C
22%
25°C
34%
26°C
24%
27°C
13%
28°C
10%
29°C
3%
30°C或以上
2%
25°C 34%
26°C 24%
24°C 22%
23°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
20°C或以下
$5 交易量
4%
21°C
$5 交易量
4%
22°C
$42 交易量
5%
23°C
$0 交易量
16%
24°C
$0 交易量
22%
25°C
$0 交易量
34%
26°C
$0 交易量
24%
27°C
$0 交易量
13%
28°C
$18 交易量
10%
29°C
$40 交易量
3%
30°C或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus places the highest probability on a 25°C peak for Cape Town on August 26 because recent ensemble model runs show modest warming from southeasterly winds and reduced cloud cover allowing greater solar heating, building on the mild, mostly clear conditions observed through August 24. However, the broad probability distribution across 23–27°C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty, with key variables including exact timing of any cloud increase, wind speed variations that could enhance or suppress daytime heating, and differences among global and regional models. Official monitoring from South African agencies will refine these inputs ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$110結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus places the highest probability on a 25°C peak for Cape Town on August 26 because recent ensemble model runs show modest warming from southeasterly winds and reduced cloud cover allowing greater solar heating, building on the mild, mostly clear conditions observed through August 24. However, the broad probability distribution across 23–27°C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty, with key variables including exact timing of any cloud increase, wind speed variations that could enhance or suppress daytime heating, and differences among global and regional models. Official monitoring from South African agencies will refine these inputs ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$110結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETTrader consensus places the highest probability on a 25°C peak for Cape Town on August 26 because recent ensemble model runs show modest warming from southeasterly winds and reduced cloud cover allowing greater solar heating, building on the mild, mostly clear conditions observed through August 24. However, the broad probability distribution across 23–27°C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty, with key variables including exact timing of any cloud increase, wind speed variations that could enhance or suppress daytime heating, and differences among global and regional models. Official monitoring from South African agencies will refine these inputs ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions