Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS show Paris maximum temperatures on August 24 most likely reaching 25–27°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 26°C (32%) and 27°C (23.5%). Northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, combined with increasing cloud cover and light shower potential, limits diurnal heating below late-August climatological norms of 24.6°C. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud thickness and timing of any precipitation, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs and Météo-France guidance expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria for this short-range temperature market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日巴黎最高溫度？
8月24日巴黎最高溫度？
26°C 33%
27°C 25%
25°C 21%
28°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
23°C or below
1%
24°C
7%
25°C
21%
26°C
33%
27°C
25%
28°C
9%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 33%
27°C 25%
25°C 21%
28°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
23°C or below
$131 交易量
1%
24°C
$138 交易量
7%
25°C
$452 交易量
21%
26°C
$391 交易量
33%
27°C
$439 交易量
25%
28°C
$539 交易量
9%
29°C
$326 交易量
4%
30°C
$482 交易量
2%
31°C
$246 交易量
2%
32°C
$5 交易量
2%
33°C or higher
$5 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS show Paris maximum temperatures on August 24 most likely reaching 25–27°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 26°C (32%) and 27°C (23.5%). Northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, combined with increasing cloud cover and light shower potential, limits diurnal heating below late-August climatological norms of 24.6°C. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud thickness and timing of any precipitation, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs and Météo-France guidance expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria for this short-range temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
交易量
$3,154結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS show Paris maximum temperatures on August 24 most likely reaching 25–27°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 26°C (32%) and 27°C (23.5%). Northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, combined with increasing cloud cover and light shower potential, limits diurnal heating below late-August climatological norms of 24.6°C. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud thickness and timing of any precipitation, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs and Météo-France guidance expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria for this short-range temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,154結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS show Paris maximum temperatures on August 24 most likely reaching 25–27°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 26°C (32%) and 27°C (23.5%). Northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, combined with increasing cloud cover and light shower potential, limits diurnal heating below late-August climatological norms of 24.6°C. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud thickness and timing of any precipitation, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs and Météo-France guidance expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria for this short-range temperature market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions