**Jeddah's coastal Red Sea location produces persistently high humidity and moderated nighttime cooling in August, with historical average minimum temperatures near 28–30°C.** Above-normal seasonal forecasts for summer 2026, with potential anomalies up to +1.6°C in the Makkah region, support elevated overnight lows and explain the 43.5% market-implied odds on 33°C or higher. Conversely, the near-equal 42.5% weighting on 23°C or below reflects uncertainty in local factors such as variable sea breezes, cloud cover, or wind speed that can enhance radiative cooling and widen the diurnal range. Model consensus on exact minimums remains limited this close to the date, as small shifts in humidity or pressure gradients can move outcomes across the closely bunched mid-range probabilities (27–32°C). Traders are thus balancing climatological baselines against short-term forecast variability ahead of the August 24 observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日吉達最低溫度？
8月24日吉達最低溫度？
33°C或以上 95%
23°C或以下 87%
24°C 37%
25°C 37%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
23°C或以下
87%
24°C
37%
25°C
37%
26°C
37%
27°C
36%
28°C
19%
29°C
22%
30°C
20%
31°C
28%
32°C
19%
33°C或以上
95%
33°C或以上 95%
23°C或以下 87%
24°C 37%
25°C 37%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
23°C或以下
$5 交易量
87%
24°C
$5 交易量
37%
25°C
$5 交易量
37%
26°C
$5 交易量
37%
27°C
$5 交易量
36%
28°C
$0 交易量
19%
29°C
$7 交易量
22%
30°C
$0 交易量
20%
31°C
$5 交易量
28%
32°C
$0 交易量
19%
33°C或以上
$5 交易量
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Jeddah's coastal Red Sea location produces persistently high humidity and moderated nighttime cooling in August, with historical average minimum temperatures near 28–30°C.** Above-normal seasonal forecasts for summer 2026, with potential anomalies up to +1.6°C in the Makkah region, support elevated overnight lows and explain the 43.5% market-implied odds on 33°C or higher. Conversely, the near-equal 42.5% weighting on 23°C or below reflects uncertainty in local factors such as variable sea breezes, cloud cover, or wind speed that can enhance radiative cooling and widen the diurnal range. Model consensus on exact minimums remains limited this close to the date, as small shifts in humidity or pressure gradients can move outcomes across the closely bunched mid-range probabilities (27–32°C). Traders are thus balancing climatological baselines against short-term forecast variability ahead of the August 24 observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
交易量
$42結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Jeddah's coastal Red Sea location produces persistently high humidity and moderated nighttime cooling in August, with historical average minimum temperatures near 28–30°C.** Above-normal seasonal forecasts for summer 2026, with potential anomalies up to +1.6°C in the Makkah region, support elevated overnight lows and explain the 43.5% market-implied odds on 33°C or higher. Conversely, the near-equal 42.5% weighting on 23°C or below reflects uncertainty in local factors such as variable sea breezes, cloud cover, or wind speed that can enhance radiative cooling and widen the diurnal range. Model consensus on exact minimums remains limited this close to the date, as small shifts in humidity or pressure gradients can move outcomes across the closely bunched mid-range probabilities (27–32°C). Traders are thus balancing climatological baselines against short-term forecast variability ahead of the August 24 observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$42結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET**Jeddah's coastal Red Sea location produces persistently high humidity and moderated nighttime cooling in August, with historical average minimum temperatures near 28–30°C.** Above-normal seasonal forecasts for summer 2026, with potential anomalies up to +1.6°C in the Makkah region, support elevated overnight lows and explain the 43.5% market-implied odds on 33°C or higher. Conversely, the near-equal 42.5% weighting on 23°C or below reflects uncertainty in local factors such as variable sea breezes, cloud cover, or wind speed that can enhance radiative cooling and widen the diurnal range. Model consensus on exact minimums remains limited this close to the date, as small shifts in humidity or pressure gradients can move outcomes across the closely bunched mid-range probabilities (27–32°C). Traders are thus balancing climatological baselines against short-term forecast variability ahead of the August 24 observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions