Recent cooling from the dissipation of late-summer heat across western Europe has shifted trader focus toward minimum temperatures of 13–15°C for Paris on August 24. A fresher Atlantic air mass arriving after the weekend has lowered overnight values, with forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicating clear to partly cloudy skies favoring radiative cooling and lows near the 14°C climatological average. Model consensus points to minimal wind and moderate humidity supporting this range, though any increased cloud cover or lingering showers could push readings toward 15–16°C. Historical late-August variability and the narrow window until resolution keep probabilities concentrated on these central outcomes while leaving room for modest revisions from updated model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日巴黎最低溫度？
8月24日巴黎最低溫度？
14°C 36%
13°C 24%
15°C 18%
16°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
11°C或以下
5%
12°C
9%
13°C
24%
14°C
36%
15°C
18%
16°C
10%
17°C
6%
18°C
4%
19°C
5%
20°C
4%
21°C或以上
2%
14°C 36%
13°C 24%
15°C 18%
16°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
11°C或以下
$4 交易量
5%
12°C
$0 交易量
9%
13°C
$0 交易量
24%
14°C
$0 交易量
36%
15°C
$0 交易量
18%
16°C
$0 交易量
10%
17°C
$0 交易量
6%
18°C
$0 交易量
4%
19°C
$5 交易量
5%
20°C
$5 交易量
4%
21°C或以上
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling from the dissipation of late-summer heat across western Europe has shifted trader focus toward minimum temperatures of 13–15°C for Paris on August 24. A fresher Atlantic air mass arriving after the weekend has lowered overnight values, with forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicating clear to partly cloudy skies favoring radiative cooling and lows near the 14°C climatological average. Model consensus points to minimal wind and moderate humidity supporting this range, though any increased cloud cover or lingering showers could push readings toward 15–16°C. Historical late-August variability and the narrow window until resolution keep probabilities concentrated on these central outcomes while leaving room for modest revisions from updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
交易量
$19結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling from the dissipation of late-summer heat across western Europe has shifted trader focus toward minimum temperatures of 13–15°C for Paris on August 24. A fresher Atlantic air mass arriving after the weekend has lowered overnight values, with forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicating clear to partly cloudy skies favoring radiative cooling and lows near the 14°C climatological average. Model consensus points to minimal wind and moderate humidity supporting this range, though any increased cloud cover or lingering showers could push readings toward 15–16°C. Historical late-August variability and the narrow window until resolution keep probabilities concentrated on these central outcomes while leaving room for modest revisions from updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETRecent cooling from the dissipation of late-summer heat across western Europe has shifted trader focus toward minimum temperatures of 13–15°C for Paris on August 24. A fresher Atlantic air mass arriving after the weekend has lowered overnight values, with forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicating clear to partly cloudy skies favoring radiative cooling and lows near the 14°C climatological average. Model consensus points to minimal wind and moderate humidity supporting this range, though any increased cloud cover or lingering showers could push readings toward 15–16°C. Historical late-August variability and the narrow window until resolution keep probabilities concentrated on these central outcomes while leaving room for modest revisions from updated model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions