Karachi's late-August climatology, driven by high atmospheric moisture from the active monsoon and warm Arabian Sea surface temperatures near 29–30°C, consistently produces nocturnal minimums around 27°C as measured by official Pakistan Meteorological Department stations. Recent model runs and observational data through August 23–24 confirm this baseline, with limited diurnal temperature ranges due to cloud cover and humidity suppressing radiative cooling overnight. The market's 100% consensus on 27°C reflects this strong historical precedent and absence of anomalous synoptic features. A sudden clearing of skies or shift to drier northerly flow could allow temperatures to dip below that threshold, though such deviations remain uncommon in the current regime.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日卡拉奇的最低溫度?
27°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$5,967 交易量
$5,967 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或更高
否
27°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$5,967 交易量
$5,967 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Karachi's late-August climatology, driven by high atmospheric moisture from the active monsoon and warm Arabian Sea surface temperatures near 29–30°C, consistently produces nocturnal minimums around 27°C as measured by official Pakistan Meteorological Department stations. Recent model runs and observational data through August 23–24 confirm this baseline, with limited diurnal temperature ranges due to cloud cover and humidity suppressing radiative cooling overnight. The market's 100% consensus on 27°C reflects this strong historical precedent and absence of anomalous synoptic features. A sudden clearing of skies or shift to drier northerly flow could allow temperatures to dip below that threshold, though such deviations remain uncommon in the current regime.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions